SB Christian McCaffrey ~ His current ADP is #1, baby!
Par Value. Magnificent McCaffrey. Pay the man!
PB Saquon Barkley ~ His ADP is currently about 2nd, early 1st Round, the 2nd Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value! That is of course based not on 2019, when a beat-up Barkley stumbled to an 11th place finish, but on his Rookie year, 2018, when he racked up 2000 Yards and 15 TouchDowns! If Barkley is healthy, he is spectacular. He is a Beast both as a Runner, and as a Receiver, appropriately trailing only the magnificent Christian McCaffrey in our hearts and minds!
PB Easy Elliott ~ His current ADP is about 3rd, early 1st Round, the 3rd Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. Elliott is a SuperBeast in his prime, consistently productive as both Runner and Receiver. Pay the man!
PB Derrick Henry ~ His ADP is currently about #5, middle 1st Round, the 5th Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. This is a tremendous Offensive Line, and responsible for far more of Henry's success than it's given credit for. As long as they're still this caliber, and Henry's got plenty of tread left ~ and I reckon that he should be good for 4 more years, as long as the Titans continue to use his skills at the currently reasonable level ~ he should keep rocking!
SB Dalvin Cook ~ His current ADP is about 5th, mid 1st Round, the 4th Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. A Star in his young prime.
SB Alvin Kamara ~ His current ADP is about 7th, mid 1st Round, the 6th Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. SuperStar in his prime. This team is pretty easy to assess, frankly.
PB Joshua Jacobs ~ His ADP is currently about #8, middle 1st Round, the 7th Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. Jacobs finished 14th last year, in his Rookie campaign, among HalfBacks, so #7 obviously represents a huge surge forward, but I believe that it's warranted. Jacobs wasn't much involved as a Receiver, last year, but while he was overrated, in my view, coming out of Alabama ~ a good Back running behind a great Line, not a great Back ~ but an accomplished Receiver, one who should take to Coach Gruden's propensity to feature Back as Receivers nicely.
PB Nicholas Chubb ~ His ADP is currently about 9th, late 1st Round, 8th Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. Chubb may lose a few Snaps to my man Kareem Hunt, but I believe that the BrownStones are poised for what may be a tremendous year on Offense. Chubb inexplicably racked up 5.0 YPC behind a shaky Line, and as that Line should be considerably improved, this year, he stands to do even better. He's a rising Star in his prime.
PB Joseph Mixon ~ His ADP is currently about 11th, late 1st Round, the 10th Ranked HalfBack.
Blue Chip Beast Bargain! Mixon has thrived through adversity, and if I'm right about my bullish perspective on the Bengal's Offense, it's more likely than not the Mixon's poised for a Career Year. I can easily see him producing at a Top 5 clip.
SB Aaron Jones ~ His current ADP is about 15th, early 2nd Round, the 11th Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. Jones finished 3rd, last year, and is a Star in his prime, but the Packers invested a valuable Pick in Dillon, who seems destined to vulturize TouchDowns from Jones, who had a lofty 16, last year, hence his having finished 3rd.
SB Austin Ekeler ~ His ADP is currently 20th, late 2nd Round, the #12 Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. Yet another wise discounting by The Market. The remarkable Mister Ekeler finished 7th, last year, but faces a year of transition, both at QuarterBack, and on the Offensive Line. The intriguing angle on Ekeler is that when the mercifully departed Mel Gordon was out, last September, Ekeler took on massive work. That, on the face of it, would suggest that that precedent will be followed, going forward, and if that proves to be the case, Ekeler, who racked up no less than 85 Points during those 4 weeks, will project to be the #2 scoring HalfBack, behind only Hurricane Christian McCaffrey.
I'll be very surprised if that proves to be the case, because the Bolts spent a 4th Rounder on Joshua Kelley, who's talent is mediocre, but who's Game is remarkably refined, and is therefore Plug & Play. That would seem to me to be a crystal clear indication that they plan of sloughing off some Snaps to Kelley, in order to keep Ekeler fresh. But I mention last September's torrid pace, because early indications indicate that that'll be the way, Ekeler becomes a steal!
SB Kenyon Drake ~ His current ADP is about 21st, late 2nd Round, the 14th Ranked HalfBack.
SuperSleeper!! It's astonishing, in this day and age, where dominant HalfBacks are rare, that Drake could be flying so far under the Radar! He's got genuine Top 5 potential, even Top 3, in this Offense! That of course translates to his being easily work a middle or even early 1st Rounder, if you buy that! I know about the walking boot. All signs are that he'll be good to go!
SB Miles Sanders ~ His ADP is currently about 22nd, middle 2nd Round, the 12th Ranked HalfBack.
Sleeper!! Coach Pederson, being extraordinarily wise, platoons his HalfBacks, but that didn't stop Sanders from finishing 15th as a Rookie. Frankly, I cannot fathom his ADP, other than to imagine that he is generally expected to suffer egregiously from the injuries to the Offensive Line. And suffer he shall, I'm sure, but hardly that egregiously, I think, with Pederson coaching. More likely, I think, Sanders improves on his stellar Rookie campaign, even while sharing time with Scott. Seems to me that he's poised to push for the Top 10, maybe even push towards the Top 5. I'd place'is Value at borderline 1st Rounder.
SB Mel Gordon ~ His ADP is currently about 25th, early 3rd Round, 14th Ranked HalfBack.
Sell!! The level of production that would justify that level of Investment may very well come to fruition for Gordon, but there's also an enormous chance that it doesn't, and he may not even come close. Gordon is still highly regarded, but it's a mystery to me why that is so, as he's averaged a mediocre 4.0 YPC over 5 years in San Diego, before just joining the Broncos, including 3.8 YPC, last year, yet the Broncos just signed'm for $8 Million/Year! He is, mind you, a far more accomplished Receiver than incumbent Phillip Lindsay, but Lindsay has proven to be a far more explosive, dynamic Runner than Gordon. There is an awfully good chance that they end up splitting Snaps, at the very least! Personally, I estimate Gordon's likely production to be more in the range of the Top 20-25, which'd translate to the 4th Round.
PB James Connor ~ His ADP is currently about 25th, early 3rd Round, the 15th Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. I get the sense that Connor's aging rapidly. He finished 50th or so, last year, but I agree with The Market that a bounce back year is in order, what with Big Ben's expected return and the ascension of the young WideOuts likely opening up things, underneath. That tempts me to call'm a Sleeper or at least a SemiSleeper, and well might he be, but it seems to me that substantial injury risk comes along with that Bet, as does attrition risk ~ that's Loss of Market Share, Earthlings!! ~ to substantially healthier and fresher HalfBacks Anthony McFarland and Jaylen Samuels. The early 3rd sounds right.
PB Todd Gurley ~ His current ADP is about 28th, early 3rd Round, the 15th Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. Gurley finished 12th, last year. I still feel like something's been going on with his health that's been shoved under the table for hte last 18 months or so, but he's clearly the Lead Back in Atlanta, and well worth an early 3rd Rounder.
LeVeon Bell ~ His ADP is currently about #30, middle of the 3rd Round, the 16th Ranked HalfBack.
Sell!! I expect a moderate resurgence, after last year's horror show, thanks to a transitional but ultimately improving Offensive Line, and thanks to what I sense will be Bell, himself, recovering further from the previous year of acting like a slug. The chances are pretty good that, in most leagues, somebody's going to pounce on'm in the 1st Round, then crow loud and long about how foolish everybody else is, and how short their memories are, because Bell is going to return to his former form. If that proves to be the case, more power to his ownder, and to Bell, but I'd say that that would be a very foolish bet, and that there's a very strong chance that Bell is going to sink his Fantasy FootBall team into the gutter! I wouldn't touch'm.
SB Devin Singletary ~ His ADP is about 30th, the middle of the 3rd Round.
OverRated! I'm a huge fan of Singletary, to who I accorded a 1st Round Value in the 2019 Draft, when Beefalo wisely plucked'm in the 3rd Round...But I am almost certainly in the minority in believing that, despite his outstanding Rookie campaign, his trajectory for 2020 is not that of the Young King, learning under the guidance of Old Scholar Frank Gore in his Rookie year, thenceforth to wish Gore well, before seizing the lion's share of Snaps. I see his trajectory as one of at most moderate improvement in his Reception numbers, if that. The Bills wisely spent another 3rd Rounder on Zaccheus Moss who demonstrably has precisely the optimal skill set to complement Singletary's...and to virtually split Market Share.
PB Christopher Carson ~ His current ADP is about 30th, mid 3rd Round, the 16th Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. A Stud in his prime!
PB Mark Ingram ~ His ADP is currently about 33rd, late 3rd Round, 20th HalfBack.
Par Value. Ingram finished 8th, last year ~ 11th in PPR ~ so 20th would be quite a slide, but I agree with The Market. The Ravens didn't spend a 2nd Rounder on JKaylin Dobbins to sit'm, obviously, and it's not as if he's a replacement for anybody, as both Gus Edwards and Justice Hill return. It should also be noted that Ingram just turned 30. I'm not as concerned as I'd be about that, if he were running 300 times a year, but he's been the #1 Back for 6 Years, now.
PB Leonard Fournette ~ His current ADP is about 33rd, late 3rd Round, the 18th Ranked HalfBack.
Sell!!! Are you kidding me??? 18th??? Hey, I love the move to sign Fournette. Absolutely brilliant, a perfect partner for Jones. But Fantasy FootBall potential??? The Great One loves his SpeedBacks who can catch the Ball. His PowerBacks? Not so much. Fournette will be a crucial component of this beautiful team, but I see a Platoon, and far less Fantasy Value than #33.
PB David Johnson ~ His ADP is currently about 40th, early 4th Round, the 23rd Ranked HalfBack.
Vastly Overrated!! It pains me to say it about DJ, whose Game was once so beautiful, but he's now been awful for 2 full seasons since his big 2017 injury, so it seems all but certain that his best years are long behind him. I hope that I'm wrong, but while he's likely to get a lot of Snaps, at least early on, simply because his Coach gave up so much in the Hopkins Trade to get'm, and because the Depth is pretty thin in Houston, but I don't anticipate much production.
SB Clyde Edwards Helaire ~ His ADP is currently about 42nd, middle of the 4th Round, 22nd Ranked HalfBack
Par Value. That value's a bit aggressive, considering that Damien Williams is around and in his prime. But it's probably safe to suppose that the Chiefs didn't spend a 1st Rounder on a HalfBack to sit'm!
SB Raheem Mostert ~ His current ADP is about 47th, late 4th Round, the 24th Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. He's the #1, but in a clear Committee, and he doesn't catch many Passes.
SB Marlon Mack ~ His ADP is currently about 54th, middle 5th Round, the 25th Ranked HalfBack.
Sell! Mack is a good HalfBack, but the Colts surely didn't spend a 2nd Rounder on Jonathan Taylor, with Mack retaining the #1 Back role in mind. I'm sure that he'll get his Snaps, especially early on, but I expect Taylor to work ahead before very long. Mack would be good value later on, but I just think that the 5th Round's a couple Rounds too rich.
PB Jonathan Taylor ~ His ADP is currently about 57th, late 5th Round, the 27th Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. I like Taylor to supplant Mack as the lead Back rather promptly, but Taylor's Passing Game Game is pretty raw. Until it develops, I have to figure that Nyheim Hines will often sub in on obvious Passing Downs.
SB Cameron Akers ~ His current ADP is about 65th, mid 6th Round, the 26th Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. Akers has top shelf Talent, but he's a Rookie in a crowded BackField behind a horrible Offensive Line.
PB David Montgomery ~ His current ADP is about 66th, mid 6th Round, the 27th Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. This is a potentially excellent Offense, and Montgomery enjoys tremendous Market Share, but he's currently sidelined with a groin injury ~ 1-3 weeks, now ~ and the Bears took a gigantic hit at Right Guard in the off-season. There's the distinct possibility of his rushing back, and the injury lingering all year. A potential bargain, but I'd draft'm as a 3rd HalfBack.
SB D'Andre Swift ~ His current ADP is about 67th, mid 6th Round, the 28th Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. A terrific HalfBack Prospect who I believe will earn a decisive Market Share advantage rapidly, once he's healthy, but who is, yes, dealing with an injury, and will likely take a while before he's 100%.
PB Kareem Hunt ~ His ADP is currently about 69th, middle of the 6th Round, 30th Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. Hunt is one of the very best in the Game, leave us not forget. Coach Stefanski was very wise to bring him back. He'll play 2nd fiddle, but he'll undoubtedly get his Snaps, and make them count.
PB Damien Williams ~ His ADP is currently about 70th, late 6th Round, 31st Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. The supposition is that Williams is worth about 1000 total Yards and a few TouchDowns. Sounds about right. I'm thinking that he'll start off, going 60/40 with Helaire, and transition to 40/60 by the end of the year.
PB Sony Michel ~ His ADP is about 77 or so, middle of the 7th Round.
OverRated! Another wasted 1st Rounder that I described as such, the moment that it was made, Michel was an excellent Runner, but one who had issues both with catching the Ball and with holding onto it at Georgia, problems which have persisted in New EngLand, which is applauded by me but notorious in FantasyLand for its committee approach! Fortunately for him, he'll be running behind a phenomenal Offensive Line, so he could make some money. That's insufficient reason to persuade me that he's a good Bet, but it does elevate his floor. Not week to week, though!
SB Ronald Jones ~ His current ADP is about 85th, early 8th Round, the 30th Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value, with some Juice. Brady will love this guy. Not sure how well or consistently it'll translate to Fantasy points.
SB Kerryon Johnson ~ His current ADP is about 89th, mid 8th Round, the 34th Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. Not a big Fan of Johnson, but I'm a big Fan of this Offense!
SB Phillip Lindsay ~ His ADP is currently about 90th, middle of the 8th Round, 37th Ranked HalfBack.
SemiSleeper. The Market clearly expects Gordon to rack up the Lion's share of Snaps in Denver, and he very well might do so, at least in the beginning, but I'd be very surprised if Lindsay doesn't take a big chunk of it away, before long, and ultimately might very well take the majority of Snaps, perhaps even a dominant share! It'd be foolish to count on that transpiring, though, so I'll estimate his value at being about the 30th Ranked, translating to the 6th Round.
SB Matthew Breida ~ His ADP is currently about 96th or so, late 8th Round.
Sell!! I've always been an enormous Fan of Breida, and if he was running behind an established Line with an established QuarterBack, he'd be a bargain at this value. And indeed, it could very well go right for'm, and if he stays healthy, he could absolutely finish with a flourish, racking up yardage as Runner and Receiver, down the stretch and into the Fantasy FootBall Playoffs, as the Offensive Line gels and Tagovailoa peppers him with lovely dump-offs. My concern is the preliminary stages, while that Line is gelling. Breida has been banged up, more than once, and has been highly, explosively productive, mind you. But he could post a lot of bad Games, early on, while that Line gels. Only If you're strategically prepared to sit him, early on, would I consider drafting him before the late Rounds. And even there, the necessity of accommodating his Offense's likely slow start depreciates his value. He could finish strong, though!
JKaylin Dobbins ~ His ADP is currently about 98th, early 9th Round, 40th HalfBack.
Par Value. Exactly how I rank him, at #40. Dobbins is one of the rare HalfBacks who are ready to play immediately, and on all 3 Downs. I expect that he'll be the heir apparent, but get worked in easy, in 2020.
PB Jordan Howard ~ His ADP is currently about 105th or so, middle 9th Round.
Sell!! Yeah, no. Anything is possible, of course, but Howard's a poor Receiver, not very explosive, and joining a team whose Offensive Line is almost certain to struggle, early on. And Howard's not the kind of Runner who's especially adept at creating his own space. Furthermore, it looks like the Fish are likely to be doing a lot of Passing, early on, due to the necessity of trying to catch up. He might be more productive, later on, but the first month or two could be awful.
ZB Tarik Cohen ~ His current ADP is about 105th, late 9th Round, the 38th Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. Cohen is money as a complementary FlexBack, but not meaty enough to be a legitimate HandCuff.
SB Tevin Coleman ~ His current ADP is about 108th, late 9th Round, the 40th Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. A strong #2. Upside potential, but downside risk, too. It's a deep BackField.
SB James White ~ His ADP is about 114th, middle of the 10th Round.
Blue Light Special! One of the best Money SpeedBacks in History, White is still in his prime and spry, at 28, highly reliably healthy, and a monster weapon in the Passing Game. He's running behind an awesome Offensive Line, and with 2 WingBacks of high quality joining the team, I'm expecting White to have more room to run and to get open!
PB KeShawn Vaughn ~ His current ADP is about 117th, late 10th Round, the 44th Ranked HalfBack.
Sell!!! Honestly, the only folks drafting Vaughn ~ who I like, mind you! ~ will be those who've been to busy with other things ~ The Plague, and whatnot ~ to've gotten the word that the Bucs signed Fournette. This is just a PSA, really.
PB Latavius Murray ~ His current ADP is about 117th, late 10th Round, the 42nd Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. The tempestuous Mister Murray is an excellent HandCuff, and dangerous in his own right!
PB Alexander Mattison ~ His current ADP is about 132nd, late 11th Round, the 43rd Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. An invaluable HandCuff, Mattison shined when given the opportunity as a Rookie, and Cook's had health issues.
SB Darrell Henderson ~ His current ADP is about 135th, early 12th Round, the 47th Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. Henderson is currently injured, which should only accelerated Akers eclipsing him.
PB Zaccheus Moss ~ His ADP is about 144th, late in the 12th Round.
Sleeper!! For the very same reason that I believe Singletary's Fantasy FootBall Stock ~ though not the FootBall Player, by any means ~ a bit rich, it seems to me that Moss's Stock is egregiously underrated. Moss isn't overwhelmingly talented, but his Intangibles are extraordinary, and his Blocking, Receiving, and above all his Navigational Skills, consequently, are all extraordinarily well developed, and render'm ready to play all 3 Downs immediately, and to play well. I believe that he'll successfully undertake Gore's role, add Hard Yard Masher to it, and execute it at a far higher level, before long. Thus, consequently, I'm thinking that his Value is far, far higher than The Market has it as: the 4th/5th Round range. Yes.
SB Justin Jackson ~ His ADP is currently 150th, middle 13th Round, the #51 Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. Jackson's main value is of course as a Handcuff. I ranked'm as a Deeper Sleeper in the 2018 Draft, and he's confirmed that he has a complete Game and is very capable of racking up loads of Points, given the opportunity!
SB Tony Pollard ~ His current ADP is about 154th, late 13th Round, the 48th Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. Pollard finished exactly 48th, last year, as a Rookie who exhibited exceptional Potential, and indeed I think it likely that he improves on those numbers, but not so much so, as long as Elliott stays healthy, to be more than an incidental bargain.
SB Duke Johnson ~ His ADP is currently about 160th, middle 14th Round, the 61st Ranked HalfBack.
Sleeper!! The funny thing about Johnson, is that while it is generally wise to go Committee with your BackField, Johnson, if he ever gets the chance, has both the Frame to take on 375 Touches, and the Talent to produces 2250 Yards, if that happens. It doesn't appear that that will ever happen, but with David Johnson appearing to be washed up, and Planet Hoosten's Backfield pretty barren, beyond the Johnson Brothers, that possibility is right around the corner.
PB Antonio Gibson ~ His ADP is currently about #160, middle 15th Round, the 50th Ranked HalfBack.
Sleeper!! As huge a Fan of Gibson as I am, he is very raw, so while I strongly suspect a second half surge will be in the offing, I wouldn't buy into the hype that I'm reading about him. However, he could be a tremendous mid-season pick up! And with Peterson having been cut loose, that could very well be a sign that Gibson's growth has accelerated!
SB Boston Scott ~ His ADP is currently about 160th, early 14th Round, the 51st Ranked HalfBack.
Sleeper!! I don't often get to go with Double Sleeper at HalfBack, especially on a team whose Offensive Line has been gutted by injury, but that 51st Ranking is ridiculous, and evidently based off of Scott's total statistics, last year...where he finished exactly 51st! Hah! As mentioned, Coach Pederson wisely platoons his HalfBacks, and did so, down the stretch, last year, with Scott sharing the load with Sanders, and doing very well, indeed, no surprise to wise men such's myself who gave'm an excellent Scouting Grade, hah! Loosely based off of that, if Scott stays healthy, he should rack up about 1000 total Yards and a few Scores, which would project to finishing about 30th, and that, in turn, projects to about the 7th or 8th Round! Hah!
SB Nyheim Hines ~ His ADP is currently about 160th, early 14th Round, the 58th Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. Hines is an intriguing Hybrid option, but hasn't shown much as a Runner. With Taylor joining Mack at the top of the Depth Chart, and with talented Players Jonathan Williams and Jordan Wilkins around, I wouldn't even both drafting Mack, as any Market Share in the event of injury is likely to go to them. But I won't quibble about a Late Round Flier.
SB Chase Edmonds ~ His current ADP is about 160th, early 14th Round, the 49th Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value, with Juice. Talented Reserve. Great Offense. I highly recommend his HandCuff Value in this Offense.
PB Algiers Jameal Dillon ~ His current ADP is about 169th, early 15th Round, the 52nd Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. Not much of a Receiver, and won't make you miss, but he should vulturize plenty of TouchDowns.
PB Rashaad Penny ~ His current ADP is about 180th, late 15th Round, the 59th Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. A solid HandCuff Play, as Carson's been knicked and bruised.
SB Darrynton Evans ~ His ADP is currently about #198 ~ UFA ~ about the 60th Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. That's pretty straight forward. And it goes without saying, I think, that he's worth a Late Round Stash, because Evans has some juice, and if Henry misses a few Games, that Line will reap Evans a ton of buzz.
PB Ryquell Armstead ~ His ADP is currently about #231 ~ UFA ~ the 62nd Ranked HalfBack.
Sleeper!! Armstead, a Sophomore, struck me, a year ago, as very Powerful, and as an exceptional Blocker. Not much else, beyond that, but that's enough to supplant Fournette for a load of Touches, should the latter be jettisoned before the year begins. Should that come to pass, snatching him up as a Late Round Flier ~ a HandCuff? ~ will pay off nicely. * Update! Fournette was cut loose, so the way is wide open for Armstead to have a significantly larger role, immediately!
SB Christopher Thompson ~ His ADP is currently about #234 ~ UFA ~ the 64th Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. Christopher Thompson has no bigger Fan that I, and he would be a Patriot, if I were running things, but while I am far more bullish on his prospective longevity than most ~ most folks don't seem to've figured out that the "30 Years Old = Line of Death" thing only applies if you've been racking up the mileage! ~ I recognize that he has a specific role in Coach Gruden's Offense, with a defined ceiling, and is always an elevated Injury Risk. He's an awesome FootBall Player, though!
PB Brian Hill ~ His current ADP is about 252nd, UFA, the 81st Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. I like Hill very much, though. I'd keep an eye out.
SB Dion Lewis ~ His ADP is currently about 264th, UFA, the 79th Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. The erstwhile explosive clown didn't know how good he had it New EngLand. He hasn't shown any juice for any long stretch since 2017, and is unlikely to challenge for substantial playing time, or be worth drafting.
PB Damien Harris ~ UFA
Sleeper!! A very wise Investment of a 3rd Rounder in 2019, Harris has 1st Round skills, but missed virtually all of 2019 to injury. But he possesses the most talent of the entire lot, except for Rex Burkhead, who is prone to injuries.
Par Value. Magnificent McCaffrey. Pay the man!
PB Saquon Barkley ~ His ADP is currently about 2nd, early 1st Round, the 2nd Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value! That is of course based not on 2019, when a beat-up Barkley stumbled to an 11th place finish, but on his Rookie year, 2018, when he racked up 2000 Yards and 15 TouchDowns! If Barkley is healthy, he is spectacular. He is a Beast both as a Runner, and as a Receiver, appropriately trailing only the magnificent Christian McCaffrey in our hearts and minds!
PB Easy Elliott ~ His current ADP is about 3rd, early 1st Round, the 3rd Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. Elliott is a SuperBeast in his prime, consistently productive as both Runner and Receiver. Pay the man!
PB Derrick Henry ~ His ADP is currently about #5, middle 1st Round, the 5th Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. This is a tremendous Offensive Line, and responsible for far more of Henry's success than it's given credit for. As long as they're still this caliber, and Henry's got plenty of tread left ~ and I reckon that he should be good for 4 more years, as long as the Titans continue to use his skills at the currently reasonable level ~ he should keep rocking!
SB Dalvin Cook ~ His current ADP is about 5th, mid 1st Round, the 4th Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. A Star in his young prime.
SB Alvin Kamara ~ His current ADP is about 7th, mid 1st Round, the 6th Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. SuperStar in his prime. This team is pretty easy to assess, frankly.
PB Joshua Jacobs ~ His ADP is currently about #8, middle 1st Round, the 7th Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. Jacobs finished 14th last year, in his Rookie campaign, among HalfBacks, so #7 obviously represents a huge surge forward, but I believe that it's warranted. Jacobs wasn't much involved as a Receiver, last year, but while he was overrated, in my view, coming out of Alabama ~ a good Back running behind a great Line, not a great Back ~ but an accomplished Receiver, one who should take to Coach Gruden's propensity to feature Back as Receivers nicely.
PB Nicholas Chubb ~ His ADP is currently about 9th, late 1st Round, 8th Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. Chubb may lose a few Snaps to my man Kareem Hunt, but I believe that the BrownStones are poised for what may be a tremendous year on Offense. Chubb inexplicably racked up 5.0 YPC behind a shaky Line, and as that Line should be considerably improved, this year, he stands to do even better. He's a rising Star in his prime.
PB Joseph Mixon ~ His ADP is currently about 11th, late 1st Round, the 10th Ranked HalfBack.
Blue Chip Beast Bargain! Mixon has thrived through adversity, and if I'm right about my bullish perspective on the Bengal's Offense, it's more likely than not the Mixon's poised for a Career Year. I can easily see him producing at a Top 5 clip.
SB Aaron Jones ~ His current ADP is about 15th, early 2nd Round, the 11th Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. Jones finished 3rd, last year, and is a Star in his prime, but the Packers invested a valuable Pick in Dillon, who seems destined to vulturize TouchDowns from Jones, who had a lofty 16, last year, hence his having finished 3rd.
SB Austin Ekeler ~ His ADP is currently 20th, late 2nd Round, the #12 Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. Yet another wise discounting by The Market. The remarkable Mister Ekeler finished 7th, last year, but faces a year of transition, both at QuarterBack, and on the Offensive Line. The intriguing angle on Ekeler is that when the mercifully departed Mel Gordon was out, last September, Ekeler took on massive work. That, on the face of it, would suggest that that precedent will be followed, going forward, and if that proves to be the case, Ekeler, who racked up no less than 85 Points during those 4 weeks, will project to be the #2 scoring HalfBack, behind only Hurricane Christian McCaffrey.
I'll be very surprised if that proves to be the case, because the Bolts spent a 4th Rounder on Joshua Kelley, who's talent is mediocre, but who's Game is remarkably refined, and is therefore Plug & Play. That would seem to me to be a crystal clear indication that they plan of sloughing off some Snaps to Kelley, in order to keep Ekeler fresh. But I mention last September's torrid pace, because early indications indicate that that'll be the way, Ekeler becomes a steal!
SB Kenyon Drake ~ His current ADP is about 21st, late 2nd Round, the 14th Ranked HalfBack.
SuperSleeper!! It's astonishing, in this day and age, where dominant HalfBacks are rare, that Drake could be flying so far under the Radar! He's got genuine Top 5 potential, even Top 3, in this Offense! That of course translates to his being easily work a middle or even early 1st Rounder, if you buy that! I know about the walking boot. All signs are that he'll be good to go!
SB Miles Sanders ~ His ADP is currently about 22nd, middle 2nd Round, the 12th Ranked HalfBack.
Sleeper!! Coach Pederson, being extraordinarily wise, platoons his HalfBacks, but that didn't stop Sanders from finishing 15th as a Rookie. Frankly, I cannot fathom his ADP, other than to imagine that he is generally expected to suffer egregiously from the injuries to the Offensive Line. And suffer he shall, I'm sure, but hardly that egregiously, I think, with Pederson coaching. More likely, I think, Sanders improves on his stellar Rookie campaign, even while sharing time with Scott. Seems to me that he's poised to push for the Top 10, maybe even push towards the Top 5. I'd place'is Value at borderline 1st Rounder.
SB Mel Gordon ~ His ADP is currently about 25th, early 3rd Round, 14th Ranked HalfBack.
Sell!! The level of production that would justify that level of Investment may very well come to fruition for Gordon, but there's also an enormous chance that it doesn't, and he may not even come close. Gordon is still highly regarded, but it's a mystery to me why that is so, as he's averaged a mediocre 4.0 YPC over 5 years in San Diego, before just joining the Broncos, including 3.8 YPC, last year, yet the Broncos just signed'm for $8 Million/Year! He is, mind you, a far more accomplished Receiver than incumbent Phillip Lindsay, but Lindsay has proven to be a far more explosive, dynamic Runner than Gordon. There is an awfully good chance that they end up splitting Snaps, at the very least! Personally, I estimate Gordon's likely production to be more in the range of the Top 20-25, which'd translate to the 4th Round.
PB James Connor ~ His ADP is currently about 25th, early 3rd Round, the 15th Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. I get the sense that Connor's aging rapidly. He finished 50th or so, last year, but I agree with The Market that a bounce back year is in order, what with Big Ben's expected return and the ascension of the young WideOuts likely opening up things, underneath. That tempts me to call'm a Sleeper or at least a SemiSleeper, and well might he be, but it seems to me that substantial injury risk comes along with that Bet, as does attrition risk ~ that's Loss of Market Share, Earthlings!! ~ to substantially healthier and fresher HalfBacks Anthony McFarland and Jaylen Samuels. The early 3rd sounds right.
PB Todd Gurley ~ His current ADP is about 28th, early 3rd Round, the 15th Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. Gurley finished 12th, last year. I still feel like something's been going on with his health that's been shoved under the table for hte last 18 months or so, but he's clearly the Lead Back in Atlanta, and well worth an early 3rd Rounder.
LeVeon Bell ~ His ADP is currently about #30, middle of the 3rd Round, the 16th Ranked HalfBack.
Sell!! I expect a moderate resurgence, after last year's horror show, thanks to a transitional but ultimately improving Offensive Line, and thanks to what I sense will be Bell, himself, recovering further from the previous year of acting like a slug. The chances are pretty good that, in most leagues, somebody's going to pounce on'm in the 1st Round, then crow loud and long about how foolish everybody else is, and how short their memories are, because Bell is going to return to his former form. If that proves to be the case, more power to his ownder, and to Bell, but I'd say that that would be a very foolish bet, and that there's a very strong chance that Bell is going to sink his Fantasy FootBall team into the gutter! I wouldn't touch'm.
SB Devin Singletary ~ His ADP is about 30th, the middle of the 3rd Round.
OverRated! I'm a huge fan of Singletary, to who I accorded a 1st Round Value in the 2019 Draft, when Beefalo wisely plucked'm in the 3rd Round...But I am almost certainly in the minority in believing that, despite his outstanding Rookie campaign, his trajectory for 2020 is not that of the Young King, learning under the guidance of Old Scholar Frank Gore in his Rookie year, thenceforth to wish Gore well, before seizing the lion's share of Snaps. I see his trajectory as one of at most moderate improvement in his Reception numbers, if that. The Bills wisely spent another 3rd Rounder on Zaccheus Moss who demonstrably has precisely the optimal skill set to complement Singletary's...and to virtually split Market Share.
PB Christopher Carson ~ His current ADP is about 30th, mid 3rd Round, the 16th Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. A Stud in his prime!
PB Mark Ingram ~ His ADP is currently about 33rd, late 3rd Round, 20th HalfBack.
Par Value. Ingram finished 8th, last year ~ 11th in PPR ~ so 20th would be quite a slide, but I agree with The Market. The Ravens didn't spend a 2nd Rounder on JKaylin Dobbins to sit'm, obviously, and it's not as if he's a replacement for anybody, as both Gus Edwards and Justice Hill return. It should also be noted that Ingram just turned 30. I'm not as concerned as I'd be about that, if he were running 300 times a year, but he's been the #1 Back for 6 Years, now.
PB Leonard Fournette ~ His current ADP is about 33rd, late 3rd Round, the 18th Ranked HalfBack.
Sell!!! Are you kidding me??? 18th??? Hey, I love the move to sign Fournette. Absolutely brilliant, a perfect partner for Jones. But Fantasy FootBall potential??? The Great One loves his SpeedBacks who can catch the Ball. His PowerBacks? Not so much. Fournette will be a crucial component of this beautiful team, but I see a Platoon, and far less Fantasy Value than #33.
PB David Johnson ~ His ADP is currently about 40th, early 4th Round, the 23rd Ranked HalfBack.
Vastly Overrated!! It pains me to say it about DJ, whose Game was once so beautiful, but he's now been awful for 2 full seasons since his big 2017 injury, so it seems all but certain that his best years are long behind him. I hope that I'm wrong, but while he's likely to get a lot of Snaps, at least early on, simply because his Coach gave up so much in the Hopkins Trade to get'm, and because the Depth is pretty thin in Houston, but I don't anticipate much production.
SB Clyde Edwards Helaire ~ His ADP is currently about 42nd, middle of the 4th Round, 22nd Ranked HalfBack
Par Value. That value's a bit aggressive, considering that Damien Williams is around and in his prime. But it's probably safe to suppose that the Chiefs didn't spend a 1st Rounder on a HalfBack to sit'm!
SB Raheem Mostert ~ His current ADP is about 47th, late 4th Round, the 24th Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. He's the #1, but in a clear Committee, and he doesn't catch many Passes.
SB Marlon Mack ~ His ADP is currently about 54th, middle 5th Round, the 25th Ranked HalfBack.
Sell! Mack is a good HalfBack, but the Colts surely didn't spend a 2nd Rounder on Jonathan Taylor, with Mack retaining the #1 Back role in mind. I'm sure that he'll get his Snaps, especially early on, but I expect Taylor to work ahead before very long. Mack would be good value later on, but I just think that the 5th Round's a couple Rounds too rich.
PB Jonathan Taylor ~ His ADP is currently about 57th, late 5th Round, the 27th Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. I like Taylor to supplant Mack as the lead Back rather promptly, but Taylor's Passing Game Game is pretty raw. Until it develops, I have to figure that Nyheim Hines will often sub in on obvious Passing Downs.
SB Cameron Akers ~ His current ADP is about 65th, mid 6th Round, the 26th Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. Akers has top shelf Talent, but he's a Rookie in a crowded BackField behind a horrible Offensive Line.
PB David Montgomery ~ His current ADP is about 66th, mid 6th Round, the 27th Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. This is a potentially excellent Offense, and Montgomery enjoys tremendous Market Share, but he's currently sidelined with a groin injury ~ 1-3 weeks, now ~ and the Bears took a gigantic hit at Right Guard in the off-season. There's the distinct possibility of his rushing back, and the injury lingering all year. A potential bargain, but I'd draft'm as a 3rd HalfBack.
SB D'Andre Swift ~ His current ADP is about 67th, mid 6th Round, the 28th Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. A terrific HalfBack Prospect who I believe will earn a decisive Market Share advantage rapidly, once he's healthy, but who is, yes, dealing with an injury, and will likely take a while before he's 100%.
PB Kareem Hunt ~ His ADP is currently about 69th, middle of the 6th Round, 30th Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. Hunt is one of the very best in the Game, leave us not forget. Coach Stefanski was very wise to bring him back. He'll play 2nd fiddle, but he'll undoubtedly get his Snaps, and make them count.
PB Damien Williams ~ His ADP is currently about 70th, late 6th Round, 31st Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. The supposition is that Williams is worth about 1000 total Yards and a few TouchDowns. Sounds about right. I'm thinking that he'll start off, going 60/40 with Helaire, and transition to 40/60 by the end of the year.
PB Sony Michel ~ His ADP is about 77 or so, middle of the 7th Round.
OverRated! Another wasted 1st Rounder that I described as such, the moment that it was made, Michel was an excellent Runner, but one who had issues both with catching the Ball and with holding onto it at Georgia, problems which have persisted in New EngLand, which is applauded by me but notorious in FantasyLand for its committee approach! Fortunately for him, he'll be running behind a phenomenal Offensive Line, so he could make some money. That's insufficient reason to persuade me that he's a good Bet, but it does elevate his floor. Not week to week, though!
SB Ronald Jones ~ His current ADP is about 85th, early 8th Round, the 30th Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value, with some Juice. Brady will love this guy. Not sure how well or consistently it'll translate to Fantasy points.
SB Kerryon Johnson ~ His current ADP is about 89th, mid 8th Round, the 34th Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. Not a big Fan of Johnson, but I'm a big Fan of this Offense!
SB Phillip Lindsay ~ His ADP is currently about 90th, middle of the 8th Round, 37th Ranked HalfBack.
SemiSleeper. The Market clearly expects Gordon to rack up the Lion's share of Snaps in Denver, and he very well might do so, at least in the beginning, but I'd be very surprised if Lindsay doesn't take a big chunk of it away, before long, and ultimately might very well take the majority of Snaps, perhaps even a dominant share! It'd be foolish to count on that transpiring, though, so I'll estimate his value at being about the 30th Ranked, translating to the 6th Round.
SB Matthew Breida ~ His ADP is currently about 96th or so, late 8th Round.
Sell!! I've always been an enormous Fan of Breida, and if he was running behind an established Line with an established QuarterBack, he'd be a bargain at this value. And indeed, it could very well go right for'm, and if he stays healthy, he could absolutely finish with a flourish, racking up yardage as Runner and Receiver, down the stretch and into the Fantasy FootBall Playoffs, as the Offensive Line gels and Tagovailoa peppers him with lovely dump-offs. My concern is the preliminary stages, while that Line is gelling. Breida has been banged up, more than once, and has been highly, explosively productive, mind you. But he could post a lot of bad Games, early on, while that Line gels. Only If you're strategically prepared to sit him, early on, would I consider drafting him before the late Rounds. And even there, the necessity of accommodating his Offense's likely slow start depreciates his value. He could finish strong, though!
JKaylin Dobbins ~ His ADP is currently about 98th, early 9th Round, 40th HalfBack.
Par Value. Exactly how I rank him, at #40. Dobbins is one of the rare HalfBacks who are ready to play immediately, and on all 3 Downs. I expect that he'll be the heir apparent, but get worked in easy, in 2020.
PB Jordan Howard ~ His ADP is currently about 105th or so, middle 9th Round.
Sell!! Yeah, no. Anything is possible, of course, but Howard's a poor Receiver, not very explosive, and joining a team whose Offensive Line is almost certain to struggle, early on. And Howard's not the kind of Runner who's especially adept at creating his own space. Furthermore, it looks like the Fish are likely to be doing a lot of Passing, early on, due to the necessity of trying to catch up. He might be more productive, later on, but the first month or two could be awful.
ZB Tarik Cohen ~ His current ADP is about 105th, late 9th Round, the 38th Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. Cohen is money as a complementary FlexBack, but not meaty enough to be a legitimate HandCuff.
SB Tevin Coleman ~ His current ADP is about 108th, late 9th Round, the 40th Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. A strong #2. Upside potential, but downside risk, too. It's a deep BackField.
SB James White ~ His ADP is about 114th, middle of the 10th Round.
Blue Light Special! One of the best Money SpeedBacks in History, White is still in his prime and spry, at 28, highly reliably healthy, and a monster weapon in the Passing Game. He's running behind an awesome Offensive Line, and with 2 WingBacks of high quality joining the team, I'm expecting White to have more room to run and to get open!
PB KeShawn Vaughn ~ His current ADP is about 117th, late 10th Round, the 44th Ranked HalfBack.
Sell!!! Honestly, the only folks drafting Vaughn ~ who I like, mind you! ~ will be those who've been to busy with other things ~ The Plague, and whatnot ~ to've gotten the word that the Bucs signed Fournette. This is just a PSA, really.
PB Latavius Murray ~ His current ADP is about 117th, late 10th Round, the 42nd Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. The tempestuous Mister Murray is an excellent HandCuff, and dangerous in his own right!
PB Alexander Mattison ~ His current ADP is about 132nd, late 11th Round, the 43rd Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. An invaluable HandCuff, Mattison shined when given the opportunity as a Rookie, and Cook's had health issues.
SB Darrell Henderson ~ His current ADP is about 135th, early 12th Round, the 47th Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. Henderson is currently injured, which should only accelerated Akers eclipsing him.
PB Zaccheus Moss ~ His ADP is about 144th, late in the 12th Round.
Sleeper!! For the very same reason that I believe Singletary's Fantasy FootBall Stock ~ though not the FootBall Player, by any means ~ a bit rich, it seems to me that Moss's Stock is egregiously underrated. Moss isn't overwhelmingly talented, but his Intangibles are extraordinary, and his Blocking, Receiving, and above all his Navigational Skills, consequently, are all extraordinarily well developed, and render'm ready to play all 3 Downs immediately, and to play well. I believe that he'll successfully undertake Gore's role, add Hard Yard Masher to it, and execute it at a far higher level, before long. Thus, consequently, I'm thinking that his Value is far, far higher than The Market has it as: the 4th/5th Round range. Yes.
SB Justin Jackson ~ His ADP is currently 150th, middle 13th Round, the #51 Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. Jackson's main value is of course as a Handcuff. I ranked'm as a Deeper Sleeper in the 2018 Draft, and he's confirmed that he has a complete Game and is very capable of racking up loads of Points, given the opportunity!
SB Tony Pollard ~ His current ADP is about 154th, late 13th Round, the 48th Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. Pollard finished exactly 48th, last year, as a Rookie who exhibited exceptional Potential, and indeed I think it likely that he improves on those numbers, but not so much so, as long as Elliott stays healthy, to be more than an incidental bargain.
SB Duke Johnson ~ His ADP is currently about 160th, middle 14th Round, the 61st Ranked HalfBack.
Sleeper!! The funny thing about Johnson, is that while it is generally wise to go Committee with your BackField, Johnson, if he ever gets the chance, has both the Frame to take on 375 Touches, and the Talent to produces 2250 Yards, if that happens. It doesn't appear that that will ever happen, but with David Johnson appearing to be washed up, and Planet Hoosten's Backfield pretty barren, beyond the Johnson Brothers, that possibility is right around the corner.
PB Antonio Gibson ~ His ADP is currently about #160, middle 15th Round, the 50th Ranked HalfBack.
Sleeper!! As huge a Fan of Gibson as I am, he is very raw, so while I strongly suspect a second half surge will be in the offing, I wouldn't buy into the hype that I'm reading about him. However, he could be a tremendous mid-season pick up! And with Peterson having been cut loose, that could very well be a sign that Gibson's growth has accelerated!
SB Boston Scott ~ His ADP is currently about 160th, early 14th Round, the 51st Ranked HalfBack.
Sleeper!! I don't often get to go with Double Sleeper at HalfBack, especially on a team whose Offensive Line has been gutted by injury, but that 51st Ranking is ridiculous, and evidently based off of Scott's total statistics, last year...where he finished exactly 51st! Hah! As mentioned, Coach Pederson wisely platoons his HalfBacks, and did so, down the stretch, last year, with Scott sharing the load with Sanders, and doing very well, indeed, no surprise to wise men such's myself who gave'm an excellent Scouting Grade, hah! Loosely based off of that, if Scott stays healthy, he should rack up about 1000 total Yards and a few Scores, which would project to finishing about 30th, and that, in turn, projects to about the 7th or 8th Round! Hah!
SB Nyheim Hines ~ His ADP is currently about 160th, early 14th Round, the 58th Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. Hines is an intriguing Hybrid option, but hasn't shown much as a Runner. With Taylor joining Mack at the top of the Depth Chart, and with talented Players Jonathan Williams and Jordan Wilkins around, I wouldn't even both drafting Mack, as any Market Share in the event of injury is likely to go to them. But I won't quibble about a Late Round Flier.
SB Chase Edmonds ~ His current ADP is about 160th, early 14th Round, the 49th Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value, with Juice. Talented Reserve. Great Offense. I highly recommend his HandCuff Value in this Offense.
PB Algiers Jameal Dillon ~ His current ADP is about 169th, early 15th Round, the 52nd Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. Not much of a Receiver, and won't make you miss, but he should vulturize plenty of TouchDowns.
PB Rashaad Penny ~ His current ADP is about 180th, late 15th Round, the 59th Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. A solid HandCuff Play, as Carson's been knicked and bruised.
SB Darrynton Evans ~ His ADP is currently about #198 ~ UFA ~ about the 60th Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. That's pretty straight forward. And it goes without saying, I think, that he's worth a Late Round Stash, because Evans has some juice, and if Henry misses a few Games, that Line will reap Evans a ton of buzz.
PB Ryquell Armstead ~ His ADP is currently about #231 ~ UFA ~ the 62nd Ranked HalfBack.
Sleeper!! Armstead, a Sophomore, struck me, a year ago, as very Powerful, and as an exceptional Blocker. Not much else, beyond that, but that's enough to supplant Fournette for a load of Touches, should the latter be jettisoned before the year begins. Should that come to pass, snatching him up as a Late Round Flier ~ a HandCuff? ~ will pay off nicely. * Update! Fournette was cut loose, so the way is wide open for Armstead to have a significantly larger role, immediately!
SB Christopher Thompson ~ His ADP is currently about #234 ~ UFA ~ the 64th Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. Christopher Thompson has no bigger Fan that I, and he would be a Patriot, if I were running things, but while I am far more bullish on his prospective longevity than most ~ most folks don't seem to've figured out that the "30 Years Old = Line of Death" thing only applies if you've been racking up the mileage! ~ I recognize that he has a specific role in Coach Gruden's Offense, with a defined ceiling, and is always an elevated Injury Risk. He's an awesome FootBall Player, though!
PB Brian Hill ~ His current ADP is about 252nd, UFA, the 81st Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. I like Hill very much, though. I'd keep an eye out.
SB Dion Lewis ~ His ADP is currently about 264th, UFA, the 79th Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. The erstwhile explosive clown didn't know how good he had it New EngLand. He hasn't shown any juice for any long stretch since 2017, and is unlikely to challenge for substantial playing time, or be worth drafting.
PB Damien Harris ~ UFA
Sleeper!! A very wise Investment of a 3rd Rounder in 2019, Harris has 1st Round skills, but missed virtually all of 2019 to injury. But he possesses the most talent of the entire lot, except for Rex Burkhead, who is prone to injuries.
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