Par Value. I like the Broncos Offensive Line, and there're enough weapons to succeed, if Lock hits, and hit, he very well might. Patrick Shurmur's the new Offensive Coordinator, and he's done well, developing QuarterBacks, most recently Daniel Jones with the Giants, and, previously, Casey Keenum with the Vikings. So while I wasn't high on Lock, neither was I on Jones, for that matter, and Lock did well, down the stretch, last year. Having said all that, there's also the chance that he flops, now that opposing DC's have tape on'm, so a Late Round Lottery Ticket seems to be just about right!
Sleeper! Fant's Rookie Production was inconsistent, but nevertheless impressive, and he oozes Star Potential. I have his value pegged at about the 750/8 range, but it wouldn't surprise me in the least, to see him push 1000 Yards. I estimate Fant's value as about the 5th or 6th overall WingBack, and that projects, as it happens, to about the 5th or 6th Round.
Super Dooper Deeper Sleeper!! 7th Round?? Are you kidding me?? Sutton is a rapidly ascending Star, and while Lock is admittedly an uncertain commodity, I'm thinking that 1000 Yards is Sutton's reasonable downside, while he could absolutely rack up 1400! There's Top 5 potential, and I certainly consider'm Top 10. 2nd Round value, baby!
FB Jerry Jeudy ~ His ADP is currently about 120th, late 10th Round, 49th Ranked WideOut.
Par Value. Jeudy, Jeudy, Jeudy. I'm a big Fan of Jeudy, a Rookie who has all the Agility of a crippled snail, but tremendous Route Running Refinement. He should develop into a productive WideOut quickly, just not a dominant one.
Sell!! The level of production that would justify that level of Investment may very well come to fruition for Gordon, but there's also an enormous chance that it doesn't, and he may not even come close. Gordon is still highly regarded, but it's a mystery to me why that is so, as he's averaged a mediocre 4.0 YPC over 5 years in San Diego, before just joining the Broncos, including 3.8 YPC, last year, yet the Broncos just signed'm for $8 Million/Year! He is, mind you, a far more accomplished Receiver than incumbent Phillip Lindsay, but Lindsay has proven to be a far more explosive, dynamic Runner than Gordon. There is an awfully good chance that they end up splitting Snaps, at the very least! Personally, I estimate Gordon's likely production to be more in the range of the Top 20-25, which'd translate to the 4th Round.
SB Phillip Lindsay ~ His ADP is currently about 90th, middle of the 8th Round, 37th Ranked HalfBack.
SemiSleeper. The Market clearly expects Gordon to rack up the Lion's share of Snaps in Denver, and he very well might do so, at least in the beginning, but I'd be very surprised if Lindsay doesn't take a big chunk of it away, before long, and ultimately might very well take the majority of Snaps, perhaps even a dominant share! It'd be foolish to count on that transpiring, though, so I'll estimate his value at being about the 30th Ranked, translating to the 6th Round.