Par Value. I was a staunch advocate of Mayfield, well before the Draft, when he was projected in the 4th or 5th Round, back in the Autumn of 2017, giving him a 1st Round Grade before anyone on the Planet ~ except Baker, himself, of course.
Currently, however, he's on a career trajectory of another QuarterBack who I gave a 1st Round Grade to when absolutely nobody else was, who rose all the way to the 1st Round...and then proved to make me look not nearly as shrewd as I previously had: Blake Bortles! Mayfield had a horrible Sophomore campaign, and is suddenly rapidly approaching a breaking point of no return. His interview with Rex Ryan, where he reportedly admitted that he needs to stop getting distracted by arguments with people outside the team, was moderately encouraging, because that's exactly what the problem has been. Mayfield's not the type to shine people on, so if he said it, he meant it. But whether or not that will ultimately translate to the intensive work needed to develop as a QuarterBack, I'll believe it when I see it. He's been exhibiting a mentality like that of a WideOut, not that of a QuarterBack, and that does not inspire my faith. I love his passionate intensity, but his Chip on the Shoulder mentality has been overplayed, and has outlived its value.
He spends way too much time reacting to what people say and think about him ~ or what he imagines they do ~ and not enough time ~ it seems to me ~ in the tape room, studying, analyzing, and drilling, drilling, drilling.
Time to grow up, kid, and fast, before you've blown the opportunity of a lifetime.
This Offense is poised for an enormous step forward, and Mayfield is it's QuarterBack. Will the coming season prove that he's truly awoken, and has started applying his extraordinary mental and physical skills to the full extend that his team deserves? I do not know. But the possibility is worth betting on, because Mayfield has the potential for Greatness.
Blue Chip Beast Bargain! His ADP calls for a bit of a slide from last year's 7th place finish, presumably because Hooper, who was signed off the Falcons in Free Agency, will have to compete with David Njoku for Snaps, and with both Odell Beckham and Jarvis Landry for Targets, Landry in particular for Short and Intermediate Targets. But there are two interesting factors that both play in Hooper's favor: First, the new Head Coach, Kevin Stefanski, just paid Hooper an enormous pile of money, making him, at least temporarily, the highest-paid WingBack in all the land. That doesn't transpire, unless Hooper's gonna be featured. Second, Landry's recovering from surgery and'll likely start slowly. Appropriate value for Hooper, as I see it, would be about the 5th or 6th Round, so he'd be a bargain in the 9th.
Par Value. That calls for a slide from his #14 finish, last year, but that seems appropriate, as Landry's timeline, recovering from surgery, is just about Opening Day, which translates into a slow start to the season.
FB Odell Beckham ~ His ADP is currently about 70th, late 6th Round, 30th Ranked WideOut.
Super Dooper Deeper Sleeper!!! Wow, how is Odell Beckham going 30th?? Well, I can actually answer that, of course. He hasn't done much more than 1000 Yards in 3 years, now, which is raising questions about whether or not he ever will again, Mayfield had a horrible year, and the BrownStones have been awful. Also, Beckham's been hurt. But my take on things is that he's gonna be 100%, the Stones are poised for a tremendous campaign, and Beckham ~ who I am no particular Fan of, mind you ~ is hungry to start racking up the accolades he used to receive. I'm thinking that it's very possible that Beckham rockets all the way back to the Top 5, even the very top, this year. I say that he's worth a 2nd Rounder, and that if he actually sinks to the 6th Round, whoever gets'm may very well have the Steal of the Year!
Par Value. Chubb may lose a few Snaps to my man Kareem Hunt, but I believe that the BrownStones are poised for what may be a tremendous year on Offense. Chubb inexplicably racked up 5.0 YPC behind a shaky Line, and as that Line should be considerably improved, this year, he stands to do even better. He's a rising Star in his prime.
PB Kareem Hunt ~ His ADP is currently about 69th, middle of the 6th Round, 30th Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. Hunt is one of the very best in the Game, leave us not forget. Coach Stefanski was very wise to bring him back. He'll play 2nd fiddle, but he'll undoubtedly get his Snaps, and make them count.