SB Christian McCaffrey ~ His current ADP is #1, baby!

Par Value. Magnificent McCaffrey. Pay the man!

PB Saquon Barkley ~ His ADP is currently about 2nd, early 1st Round, the 2nd Ranked HalfBack.

Par Value! That is of course based not on 2019, when a beat-up Barkley stumbled to an 11th place finish, but on his Rookie year, 2018, when he racked up 2000 Yards and 15 TouchDowns! If Barkley is healthy, he is spectacular. He is a Beast both as a Runner, and as a Receiver, appropriately trailing only the magnificent Christian McCaffrey in our hearts and minds!

PB Easy Elliott ~ His current ADP is about 3rd, early 1st Round, the 3rd Ranked HalfBack.

Par Value. Elliott is a SuperBeast in his prime, consistently productive as both Runner and Receiver. Pay the man!

PB Derrick Henry ~ His ADP is currently about #5, middle 1st Round, the 5th Ranked HalfBack.

Par Value. This is a tremendous Offensive Line, and responsible for far more of Henry's success than it's given credit for. As long as they're still this caliber, and Henry's got plenty of tread left ~ and I reckon that he should be good for 4 more years, as long as the Titans continue to use his skills at the currently reasonable level ~ he should keep rocking!

SB Dalvin Cook ~ His current ADP is about 5th, mid 1st Round, the 4th Ranked HalfBack.

Par Value. A Star in his young prime.

SB Alvin Kamara ~ His current ADP is about 7th, mid 1st Round, the 6th Ranked HalfBack.

Par Value. SuperStar in his prime. This team is pretty easy to assess, frankly.

PB Joshua Jacobs ~ His ADP is currently about #8, middle 1st Round, the 7th Ranked HalfBack.

Par Value. Jacobs finished 14th last year, in his Rookie campaign, among HalfBacks, so #7 obviously represents a huge surge forward, but I believe that it's warranted. Jacobs wasn't much involved as a Receiver, last year, but while he was overrated, in my view, coming out of Alabama ~ a good Back running behind a great Line, not a great Back ~ but an accomplished Receiver, one who should take to Coach Gruden's propensity to feature Back as Receivers nicely.

PB Nicholas Chubb ~ His ADP is currently about 9th, late 1st Round, 8th Ranked HalfBack.

Par Value. Chubb may lose a few Snaps to my man Kareem Hunt, but I believe that the BrownStones are poised for what may be a tremendous year on Offense. Chubb inexplicably racked up 5.0 YPC behind a shaky Line, and as that Line should be considerably improved, this year, he stands to do even better. He's a rising Star in his prime.

PB Joseph Mixon ~ His ADP is currently about 11th, late 1st Round, the 10th Ranked HalfBack.

Blue Chip Beast Bargain! Mixon has thrived through adversity, and if I'm right about my bullish perspective on the Bengal's Offense, it's more likely than not the Mixon's poised for a Career Year. I can easily see him producing at a Top 5 clip.

SB Aaron Jones ~ His current ADP is about 15th, early 2nd Round, the 11th Ranked HalfBack.

Par Value. Jones finished 3rd, last year, and is a Star in his prime, but the Packers invested a valuable Pick in Dillon, who seems destined to vulturize TouchDowns from Jones, who had a lofty 16, last year, hence his having finished 3rd.

SB Austin Ekeler ~ His ADP is currently 20th, late 2nd Round, the #12 Ranked HalfBack.

Par Value. Yet another wise discounting by The Market. The remarkable Mister Ekeler finished 7th, last year, but faces a year of transition, both at QuarterBack, and on the Offensive Line. The intriguing angle on Ekeler is that when the mercifully departed Mel Gordon was out, last September, Ekeler took on massive work. That, on the face of it, would suggest that that precedent will be followed, going forward, and if that proves to be the case, Ekeler, who racked up no less than 85 Points during those 4 weeks, will project to be the #2 scoring HalfBack, behind only Hurricane Christian McCaffrey.

I'll be very surprised if that proves to be the case, because the Bolts spent a 4th Rounder on Joshua Kelley, who's talent is mediocre, but who's Game is remarkably refined, and is therefore Plug & Play. That would seem to me to be a crystal clear indication that they plan of sloughing off some Snaps to Kelley, in order to keep Ekeler fresh. But I mention last September's torrid pace, because early indications indicate that that'll be the way, Ekeler becomes a steal!

SB Kenyon Drake ~ His current ADP is about 21st, late 2nd Round, the 14th Ranked HalfBack.

SuperSleeper!! It's astonishing, in this day and age, where dominant HalfBacks are rare, that Drake could be flying so far under the Radar! He's got genuine Top 5 potential, even Top 3, in this Offense! That of course translates to his being easily work a middle or even early 1st Rounder, if you buy that! I know about the walking boot. All signs are that he'll be good to go!

SB Miles Sanders ~ His ADP is currently about 22nd, middle 2nd Round, the 12th Ranked HalfBack.

Sleeper!! Coach Pederson, being extraordinarily wise, platoons his HalfBacks, but that didn't stop Sanders from finishing 15th as a Rookie. Frankly, I cannot fathom his ADP, other than to imagine that he is generally expected to suffer egregiously from the injuries to the Offensive Line. And suffer he shall, I'm sure, but hardly that egregiously, I think, with Pederson coaching. More likely, I think, Sanders improves on his stellar Rookie campaign, even while sharing time with Scott. Seems to me that he's poised to push for the Top 10, maybe even push towards the Top 5. I'd place'is Value at borderline 1st Rounder.

SB Mel Gordon ~ His ADP is currently about 25th, early 3rd Round, 14th Ranked HalfBack.

Sell!! The level of production that would justify that level of Investment may very well come to fruition for Gordon, but there's also an enormous chance that it doesn't, and he may not even come close. Gordon is still highly regarded, but it's a mystery to me why that is so, as he's averaged a mediocre 4.0 YPC over 5 years in San Diego, before just joining the Broncos, including 3.8 YPC, last year, yet the Broncos just signed'm for $8 Million/Year! He is, mind you, a far more accomplished Receiver than incumbent Phillip Lindsay, but Lindsay has proven to be a far more explosive, dynamic Runner than Gordon. There is an awfully good chance that they end up splitting Snaps, at the very least! Personally, I estimate Gordon's likely production to be more in the range of the Top 20-25, which'd translate to the 4th Round.

PB James Connor ~ His ADP is currently about 25th, early 3rd Round, the 15th Ranked HalfBack.

Par Value. I get the sense that Connor's aging rapidly. He finished 50th or so, last year, but I agree with The Market that a bounce back year is in order, what with Big Ben's expected return and the ascension of the young WideOuts likely opening up things, underneath. That tempts me to call'm a Sleeper or at least a SemiSleeper, and well might he be, but it seems to me that substantial injury risk comes along with that Bet, as does attrition risk ~ that's Loss of Market Share, Earthlings!! ~ to substantially healthier and fresher HalfBacks Anthony McFarland and Jaylen Samuels. The early 3rd sounds right.

PB Todd Gurley ~ His current ADP is about 28th, early 3rd Round, the 15th Ranked HalfBack.

Par Value. Gurley finished 12th, last year. I still feel like something's been going on with his health that's been shoved under the table for hte last 18 months or so, but he's clearly the Lead Back in Atlanta, and well worth an early 3rd Rounder.

LeVeon Bell ~ His ADP is currently about #30, middle of the 3rd Round, the 16th Ranked HalfBack.

Sell!! I expect a moderate resurgence, after last year's horror show, thanks to a transitional but ultimately improving Offensive Line, and thanks to what I sense will be Bell, himself, recovering further from the previous year of acting like a slug. The chances are pretty good that, in most leagues, somebody's going to pounce on'm in the 1st Round, then crow loud and long about how foolish everybody else is, and how short their memories are, because Bell is going to return to his former form. If that proves to be the case, more power to his ownder, and to Bell, but I'd say that that would be a very foolish bet, and that there's a very strong chance that Bell is going to sink his Fantasy FootBall team into the gutter! I wouldn't touch'm.

SB Devin Singletary ~ His ADP is about 30th, the middle of the 3rd Round.

OverRated! I'm a huge fan of Singletary, to who I accorded a 1st Round Value in the 2019 Draft, when Beefalo wisely plucked'm in the 3rd Round...But I am almost certainly in the minority in believing that, despite his outstanding Rookie campaign, his trajectory for 2020 is not that of the Young King, learning under the guidance of Old Scholar Frank Gore in his Rookie year, thenceforth to wish Gore well, before seizing the lion's share of Snaps. I see his trajectory as one of at most moderate improvement in his Reception numbers, if that. The Bills wisely spent another 3rd Rounder on Zaccheus Moss who demonstrably has precisely the optimal skill set to complement Singletary's...and to virtually split Market Share.

PB Christopher Carson ~ His current ADP is about 30th, mid 3rd Round, the 16th Ranked HalfBack.

Par Value. A Stud in his prime!

PB Mark Ingram ~ His ADP is currently about 33rd, late 3rd Round, 20th HalfBack.

Par Value. Ingram finished 8th, last year ~ 11th in PPR ~ so 20th would be quite a slide, but I agree with The Market. The Ravens didn't spend a 2nd Rounder on JKaylin Dobbins to sit'm, obviously, and it's not as if he's a replacement for anybody, as both Gus Edwards and Justice Hill return. It should also be noted that Ingram just turned 30. I'm not as concerned as I'd be about that, if he were running 300 times a year, but he's been the #1 Back for 6 Years, now.

PB Leonard Fournette ~ His current ADP is about 33rd, late 3rd Round, the 18th Ranked HalfBack.

Sell!!! Are you kidding me??? 18th??? Hey, I love the move to sign Fournette. Absolutely brilliant, a perfect partner for Jones. But Fantasy FootBall potential??? The Great One loves his SpeedBacks who can catch the Ball. His PowerBacks? Not so much. Fournette will be a crucial component of this beautiful team, but I see a Platoon, and far less Fantasy Value than #33.

PB David Johnson ~ His ADP is currently about 40th, early 4th Round, the 23rd Ranked HalfBack.

Vastly Overrated!! It pains me to say it about DJ, whose Game was once so beautiful, but he's now been awful for 2 full seasons since his big 2017 injury, so it seems all but certain that his best years are long behind him. I hope that I'm wrong, but while he's likely to get a lot of Snaps, at least early on, simply because his Coach gave up so much in the Hopkins Trade to get'm, and because the Depth is pretty thin in Houston, but I don't anticipate much production.

SB Clyde Edwards Helaire ~ His ADP is currently about 42nd, middle of the 4th Round, 22nd Ranked HalfBack

Par Value. That value's a bit aggressive, considering that Damien Williams is around and in his prime. But it's probably safe to suppose that the Chiefs didn't spend a 1st Rounder on a HalfBack to sit'm!

SB Raheem Mostert ~ His current ADP is about 47th, late 4th Round, the 24th Ranked HalfBack.

Par Value. He's the #1, but in a clear Committee, and he doesn't catch many Passes.

SB Marlon Mack ~ His ADP is currently about 54th, middle 5th Round, the 25th Ranked HalfBack.

Sell! Mack is a good HalfBack, but the Colts surely didn't spend a 2nd Rounder on Jonathan Taylor, with Mack retaining the #1 Back role in mind. I'm sure that he'll get his Snaps, especially early on, but I expect Taylor to work ahead before very long. Mack would be good value later on, but I just think that the 5th Round's a couple Rounds too rich.

PB Jonathan Taylor ~ His ADP is currently about 57th, late 5th Round, the 27th Ranked HalfBack.

Par Value. I like Taylor to supplant Mack as the lead Back rather promptly, but Taylor's Passing Game Game is pretty raw. Until it develops, I have to figure that Nyheim Hines will often sub in on obvious Passing Downs.

SB Cameron Akers ~ His current ADP is about 65th, mid 6th Round, the 26th Ranked HalfBack.

Par Value. Akers has top shelf Talent, but he's a Rookie in a crowded BackField behind a horrible Offensive Line.

PB David Montgomery ~ His current ADP is about 66th, mid 6th Round, the 27th Ranked HalfBack.

Par Value. This is a potentially excellent Offense, and Montgomery enjoys tremendous Market Share, but he's currently sidelined with a groin injury ~ 1-3 weeks, now ~ and the Bears took a gigantic hit at Right Guard in the off-season. There's the distinct possibility of his rushing back, and the injury lingering all year. A potential bargain, but I'd draft'm as a 3rd HalfBack.

SB D'Andre Swift ~ His current ADP is about 67th, mid 6th Round, the 28th Ranked HalfBack.

Par Value. A terrific HalfBack Prospect who I believe will earn a decisive Market Share advantage rapidly, once he's healthy, but who is, yes, dealing with an injury, and will likely take a while before he's 100%.

PB Kareem Hunt ~ His ADP is currently about 69th, middle of the 6th Round, 30th Ranked HalfBack.

Par Value. Hunt is one of the very best in the Game, leave us not forget. Coach Stefanski was very wise to bring him back. He'll play 2nd fiddle, but he'll undoubtedly get his Snaps, and make them count.

PB Damien Williams ~ His ADP is currently about 70th, late 6th Round, 31st Ranked HalfBack.

Par Value. The supposition is that Williams is worth about 1000 total Yards and a few TouchDowns. Sounds about right. I'm thinking that he'll start off, going 60/40 with Helaire, and transition to 40/60 by the end of the year.

PB Sony Michel ~ His ADP is about 77 or so, middle of the 7th Round.

OverRated! Another wasted 1st Rounder that I described as such, the moment that it was made, Michel was an excellent Runner, but one who had issues both with catching the Ball and with holding onto it at Georgia, problems which have persisted in New EngLand, which is applauded by me but notorious in FantasyLand for its committee approach! Fortunately for him, he'll be running behind a phenomenal Offensive Line, so he could make some money. That's insufficient reason to persuade me that he's a good Bet, but it does elevate his floor. Not week to week, though!

SB Ronald Jones ~ His current ADP is about 85th, early 8th Round, the 30th Ranked HalfBack.

Par Value, with some Juice. Brady will love this guy. Not sure how well or consistently it'll translate to Fantasy points.

SB Kerryon Johnson ~ His current ADP is about 89th, mid 8th Round, the 34th Ranked HalfBack.

Par Value. Not a big Fan of Johnson, but I'm a big Fan of this Offense!

SB Phillip Lindsay ~ His ADP is currently about 90th, middle of the 8th Round, 37th Ranked HalfBack.

SemiSleeper. The Market clearly expects Gordon to rack up the Lion's share of Snaps in Denver, and he very well might do so, at least in the beginning, but I'd be very surprised if Lindsay doesn't take a big chunk of it away, before long, and ultimately might very well take the majority of Snaps, perhaps even a dominant share! It'd be foolish to count on that transpiring, though, so I'll estimate his value at being about the 30th Ranked, translating to the 6th Round.

SB Matthew Breida ~ His ADP is currently about 96th or so, late 8th Round.

Sell!! I've always been an enormous Fan of Breida, and if he was running behind an established Line with an established QuarterBack, he'd be a bargain at this value. And indeed, it could very well go right for'm, and if he stays healthy, he could absolutely finish with a flourish, racking up yardage as Runner and Receiver, down the stretch and into the Fantasy FootBall Playoffs, as the Offensive Line gels and Tagovailoa peppers him with lovely dump-offs. My concern is the preliminary stages, while that Line is gelling. Breida has been banged up, more than once, and has been highly, explosively productive, mind you. But he could post a lot of bad Games, early on, while that Line gels. Only If you're strategically prepared to sit him, early on, would I consider drafting him before the late Rounds. And even there, the necessity of accommodating his Offense's likely slow start depreciates his value. He could finish strong, though!

JKaylin Dobbins ~ His ADP is currently about 98th, early 9th Round, 40th HalfBack.

Par Value. Exactly how I rank him, at #40. Dobbins is one of the rare HalfBacks who are ready to play immediately, and on all 3 Downs. I expect that he'll be the heir apparent, but get worked in easy, in 2020.

PB Jordan Howard ~ His ADP is currently about 105th or so, middle 9th Round.

Sell!! Yeah, no. Anything is possible, of course, but Howard's a poor Receiver, not very explosive, and joining a team whose Offensive Line is almost certain to struggle, early on. And Howard's not the kind of Runner who's especially adept at creating his own space. Furthermore, it looks like the Fish are likely to be doing a lot of Passing, early on, due to the necessity of trying to catch up. He might be more productive, later on, but the first month or two could be awful.

ZB Tarik Cohen ~ His current ADP is about 105th, late 9th Round, the 38th Ranked HalfBack.

Par Value. Cohen is money as a complementary FlexBack, but not meaty enough to be a legitimate HandCuff.

SB Tevin Coleman ~ His current ADP is about 108th, late 9th Round, the 40th Ranked HalfBack.

Par Value. A strong #2. Upside potential, but downside risk, too. It's a deep BackField.

SB James White ~ His ADP is about 114th, middle of the 10th Round.

Blue Light Special! One of the best Money SpeedBacks in History, White is still in his prime and spry, at 28, highly reliably healthy, and a monster weapon in the Passing Game. He's running behind an awesome Offensive Line, and with 2 WingBacks of high quality joining the team, I'm expecting White to have more room to run and to get open!

PB KeShawn Vaughn ~ His current ADP is about 117th, late 10th Round, the 44th Ranked HalfBack.

Sell!!! Honestly, the only folks drafting Vaughn ~ who I like, mind you! ~ will be those who've been to busy with other things ~ The Plague, and whatnot ~ to've gotten the word that the Bucs signed Fournette. This is just a PSA, really.

PB Latavius Murray ~ His current ADP is about 117th, late 10th Round, the 42nd Ranked HalfBack.

Par Value. The tempestuous Mister Murray is an excellent HandCuff, and dangerous in his own right!

PB Alexander Mattison ~ His current ADP is about 132nd, late 11th Round, the 43rd Ranked HalfBack.

Par Value. An invaluable HandCuff, Mattison shined when given the opportunity as a Rookie, and Cook's had health issues.

SB Darrell Henderson ~ His current ADP is about 135th, early 12th Round, the 47th Ranked HalfBack.

Par Value. Henderson is currently injured, which should only accelerated Akers eclipsing him.

PB Zaccheus Moss ~ His ADP is about 144th, late in the 12th Round.

Sleeper!! For the very same reason that I believe Singletary's Fantasy FootBall Stock ~ though not the FootBall Player, by any means ~ a bit rich, it seems to me that Moss's Stock is egregiously underrated. Moss isn't overwhelmingly talented, but his Intangibles are extraordinary, and his Blocking, Receiving, and above all his Navigational Skills, consequently, are all extraordinarily well developed, and render'm ready to play all 3 Downs immediately, and to play well. I believe that he'll successfully undertake Gore's role, add Hard Yard Masher to it, and execute it at a far higher level, before long. Thus, consequently, I'm thinking that his Value is far, far higher than The Market has it as: the 4th/5th Round range. Yes.

SB Justin Jackson ~ His ADP is currently 150th, middle 13th Round, the #51 Ranked HalfBack.

Par Value. Jackson's main value is of course as a Handcuff. I ranked'm as a Deeper Sleeper in the 2018 Draft, and he's confirmed that he has a complete Game and is very capable of racking up loads of Points, given the opportunity!

SB Tony Pollard ~ His current ADP is about 154th, late 13th Round, the 48th Ranked HalfBack.

Par Value. Pollard finished exactly 48th, last year, as a Rookie who exhibited exceptional Potential, and indeed I think it likely that he improves on those numbers, but not so much so, as long as Elliott stays healthy, to be more than an incidental bargain.

SB Duke Johnson ~ His ADP is currently about 160th, middle 14th Round, the 61st Ranked HalfBack.

Sleeper!! The funny thing about Johnson, is that while it is generally wise to go Committee with your BackField, Johnson, if he ever gets the chance, has both the Frame to take on 375 Touches, and the Talent to produces 2250 Yards, if that happens. It doesn't appear that that will ever happen, but with David Johnson appearing to be washed up, and Planet Hoosten's Backfield pretty barren, beyond the Johnson Brothers, that possibility is right around the corner.

PB Antonio Gibson ~ His ADP is currently about #160, middle 15th Round, the 50th Ranked HalfBack.

Sleeper!! As huge a Fan of Gibson as I am, he is very raw, so while I strongly suspect a second half surge will be in the offing, I wouldn't buy into the hype that I'm reading about him. However, he could be a tremendous mid-season pick up! And with Peterson having been cut loose, that could very well be a sign that Gibson's growth has accelerated!

SB Boston Scott ~ His ADP is currently about 160th, early 14th Round, the 51st Ranked HalfBack.

Sleeper!! I don't often get to go with Double Sleeper at HalfBack, especially on a team whose Offensive Line has been gutted by injury, but that 51st Ranking is ridiculous, and evidently based off of Scott's total statistics, last year...where he finished exactly 51st! Hah! As mentioned, Coach Pederson wisely platoons his HalfBacks, and did so, down the stretch, last year, with Scott sharing the load with Sanders, and doing very well, indeed, no surprise to wise men such's myself who gave'm an excellent Scouting Grade, hah! Loosely based off of that, if Scott stays healthy, he should rack up about 1000 total Yards and a few Scores, which would project to finishing about 30th, and that, in turn, projects to about the 7th or 8th Round! Hah!

SB Nyheim Hines ~ His ADP is currently about 160th, early 14th Round, the 58th Ranked HalfBack.

Par Value. Hines is an intriguing Hybrid option, but hasn't shown much as a Runner. With Taylor joining Mack at the top of the Depth Chart, and with talented Players Jonathan Williams and Jordan Wilkins around, I wouldn't even both drafting Mack, as any Market Share in the event of injury is likely to go to them. But I won't quibble about a Late Round Flier.

SB Chase Edmonds ~ His current ADP is about 160th, early 14th Round, the 49th Ranked HalfBack.

Par Value, with Juice. Talented Reserve. Great Offense. I highly recommend his HandCuff Value in this Offense.

PB Algiers Jameal Dillon ~ His current ADP is about 169th, early 15th Round, the 52nd Ranked HalfBack.

Par Value. Not much of a Receiver, and won't make you miss, but he should vulturize plenty of TouchDowns.

PB Rashaad Penny ~ His current ADP is about 180th, late 15th Round, the 59th Ranked HalfBack.

Par Value. A solid HandCuff Play, as Carson's been knicked and bruised.

SB Darrynton Evans ~ His ADP is currently about #198 ~ UFA ~ about the 60th Ranked HalfBack.

Par Value. That's pretty straight forward. And it goes without saying, I think, that he's worth a Late Round Stash, because Evans has some juice, and if Henry misses a few Games, that Line will reap Evans a ton of buzz.

PB Ryquell Armstead ~ His ADP is currently about #231 ~ UFA ~ the 62nd Ranked HalfBack.

Sleeper!! Armstead, a Sophomore, struck me, a year ago, as very Powerful, and as an exceptional Blocker. Not much else, beyond that, but that's enough to supplant Fournette for a load of Touches, should the latter be jettisoned before the year begins. Should that come to pass, snatching him up as a Late Round Flier ~ a HandCuff? ~ will pay off nicely. * Update! Fournette was cut loose, so the way is wide open for Armstead to have a significantly larger role, immediately!

SB Christopher Thompson ~ His ADP is currently about #234 ~ UFA ~ the 64th Ranked HalfBack.

Par Value. Christopher Thompson has no bigger Fan that I, and he would be a Patriot, if I were running things, but while I am far more bullish on his prospective longevity than most ~ most folks don't seem to've figured out that the "30 Years Old = Line of Death" thing only applies if you've been racking up the mileage! ~ I recognize that he has a specific role in Coach Gruden's Offense, with a defined ceiling, and is always an elevated Injury Risk. He's an awesome FootBall Player, though!

PB Brian Hill ~ His current ADP is about 252nd, UFA, the 81st Ranked HalfBack.

Par Value. I like Hill very much, though. I'd keep an eye out.

SB Dion Lewis ~ His ADP is currently about 264th, UFA, the 79th Ranked HalfBack.

Par Value. The erstwhile explosive clown didn't know how good he had it New EngLand. He hasn't shown any juice for any long stretch since 2017, and is unlikely to challenge for substantial playing time, or be worth drafting.

PB Damien Harris ~ UFA

Sleeper!! A very wise Investment of a 3rd Rounder in 2019, Harris has 1st Round skills, but missed virtually all of 2019 to injury. But he possesses the most talent of the entire lot, except for Rex Burkhead, who is prone to injuries.

SE Michael Thomas ~ His current ADP is about 6th, mid 1st Round, the 1st Ranked WideOut.

Par Value. SuperBeast in his prime. Pay the man!

FB DaVante Adams ~ His current ADP is about 8th, mid 1st Round, the 2nd Ranked WideOut.

Par Value. Adams is a Star in his prime.

FB Tyreek Hill ~ His ADP is currently 11th, end of the 1st Round, 2nd Ranked WideOut.

Par Value. Hill had a rough year, but should be back to form in 2020, and he is freakishly productive, when healthy.

SE Julio Jones ~ His current ADP is about 12th, late 1st Round, the 4th Ranked WideOut.

Par Value. A SuperStar in his prime, one'f the best ever to play!

SE DeAndre Hopkins ~ His current ADP is about 16th, early 2nd Round, the 5th Ranked WideOut.

Par Value. There's a lot of concern about Hopkins prospectively garnering significantly less Market Share than he did on Planet Hoosten, due to being new to the System, and having a short off-season, but I believe that he'll overcome that. Hopkins is demonstrably the Alpha WideOut in Arizona, and the reason that he's one of the greatest to ever play the position is his sensational Route Running, which translates in any System, and quickly. There is some risk involved because of what prospectively could be a horrible Offensive Line, but Hopkins is the last guy that I'm worried about!

FB Christopher Godwin ~ His current ADP is about 20th, mid 2nd Round, the 6th Ranked WideOut.

Par Value. An ascending Star. Right place. Right time.

SE Kenny Golladay ~ His current ADP is about 24th, late 2nd Round, the 7th Ranked WideOut.

Blue Chip Beast Bargain! Golladay finished 3rd, last year, despite having Stafford for only half the year! A beloved SuperBinky of mine when he got drafted, Golladay is a Star in his prime, one who should consistently finish Top 10 if he's healthy. I would estimate'm to be about the 4th or 5th best Bet in 2020, putting his Value in the early 2nd Round, possibly late 1st.

SE Michael Evans ~ His current ADP is about 26th, early 3rd Round, the 8th Ranked WideOut.

Sell!! Mind you, Michael Evans is a SuperStar in his prime, and I'm a huge Fan. But he's always been a big bear who hacks and grinds his way to glory, not a Route Runner. The Great One prefers Route Runners. I have no doubt that they'll work it out, because both'f'm are hard-working warriors, but their styles don't strike me as especially sympatico. Just my take.

FB Amari Cooper ~ His current ADP is about 27th, early 3rd Round, the 9th Ranked WideOut.

Par Value. Cooper is a Star in his prime, worth every penny. Lamb is getting a lot of hype, but not only do I strongly suspect that he'll considerably less Market Share than is generally expected, I believe that this Offense is poised to expand. Now that the previous Coach's catatonic approach is a thing of the past, fresh life comes to Dallas. Cooper'll get his, I think.

SE Arthur Juan Brown ~ His ADP is currently about #33, late 3rd Round, the 12th Ranked WideOut.

Sleeper!! So let me get this right: Brown finishes 9th, does so as a Rookie, does so as a guy who didn't even Start until the season was well under way...and The Market projects'm to slide to 12th or 13th?? Uh uh. I get the whole Reversion to the Mean thing, and how Brown's preposterous 20 YPC is unsustainable...But this is where The Market misses the mark.
Brown is an outlier. My study of History tells me that, while that 20 YPC surely is unsustainable, Brown's late-season rampage, where he average over 100 Yards/Game over the last 6 weeks, with 5 TouchDowns during that time, is a legitimate indicator of what to expect of'm, going forward. He was a Rookie, Ladies & Laddies. He will evolve, rapidly. Targets will compensate for a more rational YPC number. Running Offense or not, Brown is already producing like the SuperStar that everyone smart enough to see it is going to be calling him, very, very soon. Brown has genuine and immediate Top 5 potential, 1350/14 kind of potential, yes, even in that Offense. Early 2nd Round.

FB Adam Thielen ~ His current ADP is about 35th, late 3rd Round, the 12th Ranked WideOut.

Blue Chip Beast Bargain! I'm expecting a full return to Thielen's former form, which translates to Top 10, and possibly far better, now that they've got a new Offense getting installed that I'm a huge Fan of! I'd put his value as very early 3rd Round.

XB Julian Edelman ~ His ADP is about 36th or so, mid-8th Round.

Par Value. The Greatest SlotBack Off All Time ~ sorry, Welsey Welker! ~ just turned 34, and should slow down really soon, but these things generally don't happen precipitously, and Edelman's Ranking is right in the middle, tucked in with a number of Players who also project to be consistently productive. In Fantasy terms, that's just about right.

FB Cooper Kupp ~ His current ADP is about 37th, early 4th Round, the 14th Ranked WideOut.

Par Value. My MegaBinky is a Star in his prime.

SE Allen Robinson ~ His current ADP is about 38th, early 4th Round, the 15th Ranked WideOut.

Par Value. Robinson is a Stud in his prime, who finished 12th, last year, and who gets tons of Targets, but I have no problem with The Market giving'm a slight downgrade, as the Offensive Line might take a step back, this year.

XB Eugene Hilton ~ His ADP is currently about 39th, early 4th Round, the 15th Ranked WideOut.

Par Value. Seriously, who names their kid "Eugene"?? That's almost as contemptible as naming him after yourself, as so many narcissists like to do. Anyway, "Thank You" ~ I don't abide Initials ~ is poised to rebound dramatically, after a year plagued by injury and Jacoby Brissett. No offense, Mister Brissett, no offense! See what I did, there??

SE Denniston Moore ~ His current ADP is about 39th, early 4th Round, the 16th Ranked WideOut.

Par Value. Moore is an ascending SuperStar, and a perfect fit for this Offense. I'm applying a Discount for the team's transition on short time, otherwise would pound the table on this guy on this team. Eruption coming...very soon.

SE Keenan Allen ~ His ADP is currently 44th, late 4th Round, the #18 Ranked WideOut.

Par Value. I'm impressed, I must say, by the sophistication of The Market. I was all ready to break out the red ink, despite Allen being one of my all-time favorite Draft finds, as he finished 11th, last year, and has been astonishingly consistent over the last 3 years. But The Market discounted'm, exactly as I would've, presumably because of the transitional situation at QuarterBack, combined with the transitional situation on the Offensive Line. The late 4th Round is spot on!

FB Calvin Ridley ~ His current ADP is about 44th, mid 4th Round, the 17th Ranked WideOut.

Par Value. A Rising Star, entering his prime.

XB Tyler Lockett ~ His current ADP is about 48th, late 4th Round, the 18th Ranked WideOut.

Par Value. Lockett has emerged as a Stud in his prime!

FB Stefon Diggs ~ His ADP is about #50 or so, right at the beginning of the 5th Round.

Par Value. It looks like The Market is being realistic about expectations for His Majesty, here. Allen is still an unproven commodity, right now, and if he gets benched for Jake Fromm, they'll be exchanging the Gunslinger for the Pop Gun, not especially conducive to Diggs's statistical success. Mind you, that Offensive Line has a chance to be dominant, and if young Allen figures it all out and starts performing at a competent level, Diggs could have a spectacular year!

SE Ariel Green ~ His ADP is currently about 50th, middle of the 5th Round, the 23rd Ranked WideOut.

SemiSleeper! Green is finally expected to return, after missing 1.5 seasons due to injury. There is risk of rust, so I'll back my evaluation off a Round, but I fully expect him to be back at his former form, which was stellar ~ though possibly exhibiting some early rust ~ and to do so with an Offensive Guru and potential Greatness at QuarterBack bodes extraordinarily well for his production. I foresee'm pushing the Top 10, and worth a 4th Rounder, if not a 3rd.

SE DeKaylin Metcalf ~ His current ADP is about 54th, mid 6th Round, the 22nd Ranked WideOut.

SemiSleeper! I underrated Metcalf considerably, a year ago. He has all the SuperStar potential that his athletic metrics indicated, as it turns out, and I believe is poised to explode in his Sophomore campaign! I foresee'm pushing a Top 10 finish, and would rank'm about 15th, overall, which would translate to the late 3rd or early 4th Round, held back only by Pete Carroll!

FB JuJu Smith Schuster ~ His ADP is currently about 55th, middle of the 5th Round, the 24th Ranked WideOut.

Sleeper! Everybody knows that he had a horrific 2019 campaign, and that there is some uncertainty about Roethlisberger returning to full form in 2020, so there is risk, here, as well. But the prevailing theme that I keep reading is that he can't hack it as the #1, now that Antonio Brown's in the wind. That appeared to be the case, after Roethlisberger went down during Week 2, but Schuster was highly productive before he got hurt, Week 4, racking up 80 Yards/Game.

With Roethlisberger's expected return, probably, though by no means definitely, to his previous form, or even with Mason Rudolph stepping in, if needs be, I expect Schuster, who's 2020 playing for his 2nd contract, to enjoy an enormous comeback season. I project his production to land him in the Top 15, catapulting his value to the 3rd Round!

FB Robert Woods ~ His current ADP is about 55th, mid 5th Round, the 21st Ranked WideOut.

Par Value. Star in his prime.

ZB Marquise Brown ~ His ADP is currently about 56th, late in the 5th Round.

Par Value. That ranks him about 25th among WideOuts, which is about the 1000 Yard threshold. That sounds about right to me, as Brown has spectacular potential, but also carries a lot of risk, due to being pea-sized!

SE Darrell Chark ~ His ADP is currently about #60, late 5th Round, the 25th Ranked WideOut.

Par Value. Chark surprised the Hell out'f me ~ I gave'm a 4th Round Grade ~ by racking up 1000/8 and finishing 16th, last year. The Market is clearly expecting a slide or accounting for the risk of a new Coach and a new Offense, and which I consider appropriate, both because I'll trust Chark only when he does it again, and because I expect him to lose considerable Market Share on Red Zone Targets to Eifert and Oliver, neither'f whom were around, last year.

FB Terry McLaurin ~ His ADP is currently about #63, early 6th Round, the 26th Ranked WideOut.

Sleeper! McLaurin had an exceptional Rookie campaign, despite a bad situation, finishing 24th, and I see plenty of reason, considering that he's the indisputable #1 WideOut in Washington, to expect a strong step forward, this year. Even a moderate improvement to 75/1080/8 or so would translate into about 15th or so, warranting an early 4th Round Pick.

FB Jarvis Landry ~ His ADP is currently about 67th, middle of the 6th Round, 29th Ranked WideOut.

Par Value. That calls for a slide from his #14 finish, last year, but that seems appropriate, as Landry's timeline, recovering from surgery, is just about Opening Day, which translates into a slow start to the season.

XB Brandin Cooks ~ His ADP is currently about 69th, middle of the 6th Round, the 29th Ranked WideOut.

Sell!! I'm no Fan of Cooks, either as a FootBall Player or as a teammate, but I wouldn't hesitate to pound the table on'm, if I saw value. However, I believe that Cooks, despite being reliable for several years, is a mounting and substantial concussion risk, and his production declined precipitously, last year. Opportunity will abound, in Planet Hoosten's Offensive scheme, with Hopkins having flown the coop, and if Cooks proves to be healthy and regains his formerly explosive form, he might be a bargain. But I don't believe that his Market Value sufficiently accounts either for the remarkably crowded Receiver room on Planet Hoosten ~ even with Hopkins and his 150 Targets gone ~ or  for the chances of his sustaining a season-ending concussion, or, furthermore, for the possibility that his production's spectacular decline in 2019 was a sign that his small Frame is simply and permanently worn out.

FB Odell Beckham ~ His ADP is currently about 70th, late 6th Round, 30th Ranked WideOut.

Super Dooper Deeper Sleeper!!! Wow, how is Odell Beckham going 30th?? Well, I can actually answer that, of course. He hasn't done much more than 1000 Yards in 3 years, now, which is raising questions about whether or not he ever will again, Mayfield had a horrible year, and the BrownStones have been awful. Also, Beckham's been hurt. But my take on things is that he's gonna be 100%, the Stones are poised for a tremendous campaign, and Beckham ~ who I am no particular Fan of, mind you ~ is hungry to start racking up the accolades he used to receive. I'm thinking that it's very possible that Beckham rockets all the way back to the Top 5, even the very top, this year. I say that he's worth a 2nd Rounder, and that if he actually sinks to the 6th Round, whoever gets'm may very well have the Steal of the Year!

FB Michel Gallup ~ His current ADP is about 72nd, late 6th Round, the 31st Ranked WideOut.

Sleeper! Gallup finished 20th, last year, in his breakout Sophomore campaign, so The Market clearly believes that the drafting of Lamb will not only bleed off Gallup's ascension, but reverse it! I think that that's a mistake. Lamb is a raw Route Runner who quite possibly will attract a far lesser Market Share as a Rookie than virtually everyone seems to believe, I believe. A repeat, more'r less, of last year's success ~ and, therefore, about a 20th place finish, once again ~ seems to me to be a justifiable estimate of Gallup's projection, which would translate to about the 50th pick or so, approximately the early 5th Round.

SE DeVante Parker ~ His ADP is currently about 75th or so, early 7th Round.

Par Value. Much to my admiring surprise, The Market currently has only moderate expectations of Parker. Considering that it took 598 false starts before he finally emerged in his 5th year, and considering that the Fish are breaking in virtually an entire Offensive Line and almost certainly a QuarterBack, I'd say that a little caution is warranted! Hah!

SE Courtland Sutton ~ His ADP is currently about 77th, projecting to the 7th Pick in the 7th Round! 33rd Ranked.

Super Dooper Deeper Sleeper!! 7th Round?? Are you kidding me?? Sutton is a rapidly ascending Star, and while Lock is admittedly an uncertain commodity, I'm thinking that 1000 Yards is Sutton's reasonable downside, while he could absolutely rack up 1400! There's Top 5 potential, and I certainly consider'm Top 10. 2nd Round value, baby!

XE Deebo Samuel ~ His current ADP is about 84th, late 7th Round, the 34th Ranked WideOut.

Sell!! Samuel's banged up, and ankle injuries linger. Late Round Flier, only!

FB Will Fuller ~ His ADP is currently about 87th, early 8th Round, the 34th Ranked WideOut.

Par Value. Unlike Cooks, there's no doubt that Fuller still has the capacity to substantially outperform his ADP. But, once again unlike Cooks, Fuller has been notoriously unreliable, missing 20 of the last 48 Games, over the last 3 years. The Market seems to be projecting him based on his recent Production Per Game, and applying a Health Discount. He's a potential 1000 Yard guy ~ even 1200 Yards ~ if he can ever stay on the Field, so 8th Round seems about right to me.

FB Tyler Boyd ~ His ADP is currently about 88th, early 8th Round, the 35th Ranked WideOut.

Sleeper! Full disclosure: I'm a huge Fan of Boyd, and always have been. But he has established himself as a steady 1000 Yard guy, which should place him about 25th, which is late 5th Round/early 6th Round territory. Perhaps The Market's thinking that the return of Mister Green will be detrimental, or the introduction of a rookie QuarterBack? Those're valid arguments, if so, but I'm thinking that Boyd will make his money, regardless. And his skill set is especially suited to accommodate Burrow's style. Green will take a big chunk of Market Share, but he'll also open things up for Boyd. Furthermore, I suspect that this Offense will expand so robustly that there'll be plenty of Ball to go around!

FB Marvin Jones ~ His current ADP is about 88th, early 8th Round, the 36th Ranked WideOut.

SemiSleeper. I've always been a big Fan of Jones, and he was having a terrific year before Stafford got hurt, getting hurt, himself, in December, and finishing 27th. Early 6th Round Value, I'm thinking: Top 20-25 Bet, I'd say.

XB Mecole Hardman ~ His ADP is currently about 90th, middle of the 8th Round, 37th Ranked WideOut.

SemiSleeper. The man with the horrifically ugly name is freakishly gifted, his hitherto raw Game is rapidly coming together, and he's about to hit his Sophomore year with a fully healthy Patrick Mahomes. Not to get carried away, but I place'm as about the 25th best WideOut Bet, with a very good shot at 1000 Yards, which would translate to the 5th Round.

FB John Brown ~ His ADP is about #93 or so, the back end of the 8th Round.

Par Value. Yeah, that sounds about right. My SuperBinky gets bumped down from #1 to his more natural #2 gig, and while that Offensive Line might enable Allen to keep his job, Brown is likely to lose Market Share not only to Diggs, but to Knox, as well. Mind you, he might well benefit, to Diggs's detriment, if Allen gets benched for Fromm, a distinct possibility.

FB Cederian Lamb ~ His current ADP is about 96th, late 8th Round, the 38th Ranked WideOut.

Overrated! Nothing against Lamb, and he may very well ascend into the prominent role that virtually everyone seem to expect of him, this year, but I say that his Route Running is raw, and that it's therefore likely that his Rookie campaign will produce a few growing pains, and sporadic production. I think he's a risky Bet to make, this year, and should be a Late Round Flier.

FB Manny Sanders ~ His current ADP is about 99th, early 9th Round, the 39th Ranked WideOut.

Par Value. Yeah, 39th is just about right. Sanders has proven to be remarkably resilient, at 32, recovering from a 2018 ACL injury, and should be even better, this year, even while fighting off the ravages of Age! He could even push 1000 Yards.

XB Christian Kirk ~ His current ADP is about 100th, early 9th Round, the 40th Ranked WideOut.

SemiSleeper. Despite Hopkins coming to town to take the Alpha role, Kirk is poised for a 3rd Year Breakout, and his Game gels perfectly with the quick strike nature of The Air Raid. Furthermore, my feeling is that, despite a shaky and potentially horrible Offensive Line, the Line's prospective weakness is largely neutralized by that quick strike nature of the Offense, and, yet furthemore, I sense that there'll be even more Targets to go around, this year! I see Kirk as being a good Bet to assault the mystical 1000 Yard mark, finishing around 30th, or so, and therefore warranting a late 6th or early 7th Round Pick!

SE Michael Williams ~ His ADP is currently 108th, late 9th Round, the #44 Ranked WideOut.

Par Value. Here, too, The Market exhibits its wisdom, by also discounting Williams, who finished 37th, last year. Williams is rapidly ascending to Stardom, so you could argue that he shouldn't be discounted, but he's actually more risky than Allen, being more of a downfield, feast or famine type, headed into a year of transition both at QuarterBack and the Offensive Line, and, furthermore, looking at the likelihood that that QuarterBack is at least initially likely to be Taylor, a natural leader who, nevertheless, isn't exactly renowned for his gun-slinging ways! The late 9th makes sense.

FB Darius Slayton ~ His ADP is currently about 108th, late 9th Round, the 43rd Ranked WideOut.

Sleeper! Slayton, who I was very high on, a year ago, despite his 5th Round Pedigree, still doesn't get the Love that he deserves, even after an outstanding Rookie campaign. He finished 33rd as a Rookie, yet is projected to go 43rd as a Sophomore, even though the guy slinging'm the rock ~ Jones ~ is projected to ascend from 23rd to 16th!!! Idiocy. Mind you, the likelihood of the Giants having severe problems at Offensive Tackle puts a damper on Slayton's short-term upside, because his deep threat potential will likely suffer, from Jones not having enough time to get the ball to'm. Even so, Slayton is a rapidly rising Star. I strongly suspect that he goes something like 72/1080/10 this year, which'd project to around 15th, 3rd/4th Round.

XB Diontae Johnson ~ His ADP is currently 111th, early 10th Round, the 45th Ranked WideOut.

Sleeper! Big Ben isn't as familiar with Johnson, a Rookie last year, as he is with Schuster, so I expect a migration of Market Share, there, but Johnson is young and explosive, finished 2019 with a flourish, and is poised for a run at 1000 Yards. I don't know if he'll get there, mind you, with all that competition for Targets, but he's clearly on the rise. As I see it, he's looking like he's likely to rack it up to the extent of the Top 30/35 or so, which is 7th Round territory, a nice rise.

FB Sammy Watkins ~ His ADP is currently about 117th, late 10th Round, 48th Ranked WideOut.

Par Value. I expect'm to fade to 3rd WideOut and 4th Target, but there's enough Market Share for everyone in Kansas City.

FB Jerry Jeudy ~ His ADP is currently about 120th, late 10th Round, 49th Ranked WideOut.

Par Value. Jeudy, Jeudy, Jeudy. I'm a big Fan of Jeudy, a Rookie who has all the Agility of a crippled snail, but tremendous Route Running Refinement. He should develop into a productive WideOut quickly, just not a dominant one.

XB Sterling Shepherd ~ His ADP is currently about 121st, early 11th Round, the 49th Ranked WideOut.

Par Value. I like Shepherd very much, but he suffered multiple concussions, last year, so I attribute substantial risk to his profile. Mind you, if he plays 16 Games and Jones is running for his life, he prove to be a tremendous bargain!

XB Golden Tate ~ His ADP is currently about 123rd, early 11th Round, the 50th Ranked WideOut.

SemiSleeper. I've always liked Tate, and he finished 41st, last year, even despite missing 5 Games, 4 to a PED suspension. He's getting up there, having just turned 32, and he's got competition for Targets. Even so, projecting his as a 4th or 5th WideOut seems like a severe Discount, to me. Tate gets the job done, and he's a good bet to produce, regardless of circumstances, so long as he doesn't miss much time. To me, he's got a 60/800/6 feel to'm, which'd place'm more like 3rd/4th than 4th/5th, projecting to the 8th Round or so. Not spectacular, but a moderate bargain, in my perception, worth picking up.

FB Henry Ruggs ~ His ADP is currently about #123, early 11th Round, the 50th Ranked WideOut.

Par Value. I'm tempted to break out the red ink on this one, because Ruggs, while very talented, is not very developed, and is therefore susceptible to statistically faceplanting, his Rookie year, as he painfully takes it through the mental gears of figuring this whole thing out...But he instantly becomes the most talented WideOut on the Raiders, and, while they're potentially facing a transitional year between QuarterBacks, Coach Gruden is a great Offensive mind, and while he's exhibited a lot of rust in turning things around, over the last few years, the Raiders are showing a sign or two that they might be about to start turning a profit, so to speak. That possibility makes Ruggs worth a Late Rounder.

XE Justin Jefferson ~ His current ADP is about 123rd, early 11th Round, the 50th Ranked WideOut.

SemiSleeper. It's perfectly reasonable that a Rookie is being drafted so low, but Jefferson is not your average Rookie. And I don't mean his 1st Round Pedigree. I mean that his Game ~ especially his Route Running ~ is extraordinarily well developed. His Speed is mediocre, but his Agility is outstanding, which is enough, with his Routing, to translate into his having a far better chance than usual of making an early and lasting impact. I put his value at about 40th, translating to the 8th or 9th Round.

XE NKeal Harry ~ His ADP is about 130th, late Round 11.

Par Value for a guy who might make a few bucks if he's healthy, but not a Pick I would make. Drafting Harry in the 1st Round a year ago was a foolish mistake, and I said so at the time. I do not have great expectations for'm.

FB Jalen Reagor ~ His ADP is currently about 133rd, early 12th Round, the 51st Ranked WideOut.

Par Value. Reagor is highly talented and tough, and should produce as a Rookie, but with all the competition for Targets in Philly, and particularly with the Offensive Line likely to have issues, 50th or so seems like a reasonable projection for'm.

SE Preston Williams  ~ His ADP is currently about #135 or so, early 12th Round.

Sell!! Williams is supremely talented, and could very well crank out an 80/1200/12 Line...in 2021! Me, I always bet against a Player producing anything close to his capability, coming back from a late season ACL, like Williams is. And that's before factoring in the chaos that is likely to ensue in Miami during the opening month or 3 of the season. I've been preaching about Recovery Years for a long, long time: 18 months. 18 months is generally what it takes, give or take a few months, after a major injury like an ACL, before a Player completely regains his former form. Most people don't realize that. Somebody is going to snap Williams up in the late Rounds, and it'll likely be a wasted Pick. Don't let it be you.

FB Anthony Miller ~ His current ADP is about 138th, mid 12th Round, the 53rd Ranked WideOut.

SuperDooper DeeperSleeper!! I called Miller Highly Overrated when the Bears drafted'm in the 2nd Round, in 2018, giving him a 4th Round Grade, which I stand by, in terms of what his services were worth, then. But my Spidey Sense is telling me that Miller's about to launch. I foresee a big run to the 75/1000/8 range, which would likely be a Top 20 finish, warranting a Pick somewhere in the late 4th or early 5th Round range, and therefore a phenomenal bargain in the 12th Round!

XE Robby Anderson ~ His current ADP is about 143rd, late 12th Round, the 54th Ranked WideOut.

SemiSleeper. Interesting confabulation, here: Anderson's skill set is perfect for a transitional team that needs to build from the inside out, so to speak: focus on Moving The Chains. But he's been miscast, for 4 years, as a Zoomer, a Run Like Hell And I'll Throw You The Ball guy. Coach Rhule knows his real skills, though, as they worked together at Temple. Anderson could statistically flame out, mind you, with all the competition for Targets, hence his 54th Ranking, despite finishing 38th, last campaign. I like'm as a Late Round Flier, though, one who Coach Rhule targeted for his new team.

FB John Ross ~ His ADP is currently about 150th, middle 13th Round, the 58th Ranked WideOut.

Par Value. He has genuine #1 or #2 WideOut potential, and opened up 2019 at a blistering pace, before injuries yet again sidelined'm. But his future is uncertain, as the Bengals spend a 2nd Round on Tee Higgins and declined Ross's 5th Year Option. More to the point, his Market Share is uncertain. He may very well win the #3 gig and have a spectacular season, rending his current ADP one of the year's great bargains, and I am higher on this Offense than just about anybody, so I'll not be the guy to discourage anyone wanting to pluck'm a round or three earlier. But it seems to me that the most likely outcome is Ross time-sharing with Higgins, and that that, combined with the risk of yet another injury, renders his prospects more along the lines of a Hail Mary ~ a Lottery Ticket worth a small Bet, but not much more than that.

SE Tyrell Williams ~ His ADP has recently surged to about #150, middle 13th, Round, the 57th Ranked WideOut.

Par Value. I haven't found anything to ascribe that recent surge to, other than an article written about'm. I like Williams, but he has consistently been the Boom or Bust, Binge or Purge, All or Nothing Long Range Bomber, and there's certainly nothing about the current QuarterBack situation to warrant wagerin anything more than a Late Round Flier on'm!

SB Jamison Crowder ~ His ADP is about #150, middle 13th Round.

Sleeper! Wow, I did not expect to be using that term on anyone in this Offense, but there it is! Crowder is ranked about 60th, but I can easily foresee'm producing at a Top 30 level, now that he's looking at his 2nd year in the Jets Offense. That's 6th/7th Round territory! Mind you, you don't want to draft him that early, the idea being of course to collect bargains!

SE Alshon Jeffrey ~ His ADP is currently about 154th, late 13th Round, the 55th Ranked WideOut.

Par Value. Jeffrey certainly has the potential to dramatically outperform the 55th slot, which is of course a speculative average of the wide spread of slots that he's drawing, this Summer, but he has to stay on the Field to do so. Therein, as they say, lies the rub, as Jeffrey has been plagued by injuries. That, thick competition, and the injuries to the O Line incur a lot of Risk.

SE Breshad Perriman ~ His ADP is about #160, early 14th Round.

Sleeper! I have never been a fan of Perriman, who's made me look utterly brilliant, for calling him Highly OverRated, back in 2015, when he went in the 1st Round, I called'm a 3rd/4th Rounder, and flamed out, beautifully! But late in his 5th season, the lights suddenly flipped on, and Perriman closed with 500 yards in 5 games! Mind you: That was with the legendarily sloppy slinger, Jameis Winston, ripping it to'm, careless Route Running meeting careless Passing, also featuring blistering Speed meeting Rocket Arm! I'll believe that Perriman has learned to consistently run accurate, disciplined Routes when he does it with a real QuarterBack...but that ain't Arnold! Mind you: I would not bet very aggressively on Perriman, but if his late season eruption translates into the future, you'll want to be aboard!

FB Curtis Samuel ~ His current ADP is about 162nd, mid 14th Round, the 60th Ranked WideOut.

Sell!! 2019 was supposed to be Samuel's BreakOut Year. Not so much. And word around the campfire's that he's still not putting it together. He's very talented, and people develop in different ways, but there's a ton of competition for Targets, hereabouts.

XB DeSean Jackson ~ His ADP is currently about 165th, late 14th Round, the 59th Ranked WideOut.

Par Value. All 3 WideOuts here have the potential to significantly outperform their ADPs, especially with XB Marquis Goodwin opting out, and if Jackson stays healthy, this time, he could be a steal, all right. But as with Jeffrey, sustainable health is a question, because Jackson missed most'f last year, and because he's 34. There's also the same issues as with all Philly WideOuts, those being the heavy competition for Targets, and, especially with a Zoomer like Jackson, the O Line.

FB James Washington ~ His ADP is currently about 165th, late 14th Round, the 71st Ranked WideOut!

Super Dooper Deeper Sleeper! Washington finished 2019 even stronger than Johnson, heads into his 3rd year, and has played with Big Ben. He has a strong shot at 1000 yards or more, as I see it, which'd put'm, depending on how many TouchDowns he pulls in, around the Top 20/25 or so, which projects all the way into the 5th Round, baby!

SE Michael Pittman ~ His ADP is currently about 165th, middle 14th Round, the 66th Ranked WideOut.

Sleeper! I'm actually quite impressed that The Market has this guy drafted. Pittman is joined a team whose Offense is very Run-oriented, but nevertheless in eager need of Receivers who can reliably Move The Chains, as there is nobody established, after Hilton. And Pittman, despite being a Rookie, is both exceptionally well developed, in terms of Route Running and having reliable Hands, but he is an enormous, quick, slippery, and powerful Target.

PS > Usually, I link directly to the Player Page, but Pittman doesn't have one. Why? Because his name links, instead, to that of the Michael Pittman who used to play HalfBack for the Cardinals and Buccaneers. And, yes, that's his Father, thus illustrating, with impeccable timing, my earlier point about narcissist clowns, pathetically and parasitically trying to live, vicariously, through their Sons, by dint of naming them after themselves. Get your own Life, Dad!

XE Allen Lazzard ~ His current ADP is about 180th, late 15th Round, the 60th Ranked WideOut.

SuperSleeper!! Lazzard has reportedly emerged as the clear #2 behind Adams. I've always liked'm, and I like this Offense. I can easily foresee a 60/800/8 kind of season, which'd place'm close to the Top 30 or so, and that's 7th Round territory!

FB Dede WestBrook ~ His ADP is currently about #182, early 16th Round, the 67th Ranked WideOut.

Par Value. With WestBrook having finished 49th, last year, he too is evidently perceived to be at risk of seeing a decline in production, either to the chaos of a new Offense, or to loss of Market Share and Targets. I feel that in his case, too, the concern is warranted, as WestBrook may very well lose Market Share to Laviska  Shenault, the Rookie Slot End.

SE Corey Davis ~ His ADP is currently about #200 ~ Undrafted Free Agent ~ the 73rd Ranked WideOut.

Par Value. I've always liked Davis, a far better FootBall Player than Fantasy Player. He's a strong Possession Receiver, and he's an excellent Blocker, and does the things that help win Championships ~ real Championships. But on a team that emphasizes the Run, and where Brown has dramatically eclipsed him as the #1 WideOut, Davis seems unlikely to rebound very emphatically from 2019's statistical slide unless Brown gets hurt. I'd love on my team, though.

XE Laviska Shenault ~ Speaking of Shenault, his ADP is currently about #207 ~ UFA ~ the 70th Ranked WideOut.

Par Value. I'm a huge Fan of Shenault, and I'd pounce on'm if Chark or WestBrook get hurt. But because Shenault is a Slot End, whose specialties are Moving The Chains and Red Zone Targets, which'll put him in direct competition with Eifert, Oliver, and WestBrook, all more established than him, I'd hold off on spending a Draft Pick on'm, this year.

SE Larry FitzGerald ~ His current ADP is about 210th, UFA, the 71st Ranked WideOut.

Par Value. FitzGerald is awesome, but I imagine that he'll just be keeping Defenses honest, at this point.

FB Brandon Aiyuk ~ His current ADP is about 210th, UFA, the 71st Ranked WideOut.

Sleeper! I'd be more excited if he wasn't banged up, but banged up, he is. Aiyuk is a Rookie, but a refined one, and my money's on him to lead all Miner WideOuts in Yards, this year. However, that is not the highest praise, as the Miners wisely focus on Moving The Chains, not slinging it. I have'm as about the 40-45th best Bet, so I'd give'm a late 9th Round Value.

XB Danny Amendola ~ His current ADP is about 276th, UFA, the 90th Ranked WideOut.

Par Value. Terrific Role Player, but I wouldn't spend a Pick on'm.

SE Christian Conley ~ His ADP is currently about #280 ~ UFA ~ the 92nd Ranked WideOut.

Sleeper!! How rude! Conley finished #39, last year! Clearly, The Market expects a cataclysmic Production Plunge, and for a substantial reduction in Market Share, presumably at the hands of Shenault. That is certainly a very possible outcome, considering that Conley'd never produced anywhere near what he did in 2019, previously. But it seems to me that a lot'f folks are forgetting that Conley is very, very talented, and with excellent Intangibles. 2019 may well prove to be a Career Year. But it may also very well prove to be a BreakOut Year. With Coach Gruden running the show, I'm anticipating a productive year for this Offense, and it's not out'f the realm that Conley racks up 1000 Yards or more! He might even supplant Chark as the #1 Jaguar WideOut, and score in the Top 20! There is real Late Round Steal potential!

XE Marques Valdes Scantling ~ His current ADP is about 300th, UFA, the 97th Ranked WideOut.

Par Value. Worth keeping an eye on, perhaps, but he's always been pretty raw.

XB Steven Sims ~ His ADP is currently about #300, UFA, the 96th Ranked WideOut.

SuperDooper DeeperSleeper!! Sims quietly emerged down the stretch, last year, racking up 36 Targets over the last 4 weeks, and producing a 20/230/4 line! The clear #2 behind McLaurin, Sims seems to me poised to at least be a good Bet to rack up 66/800/5 numbers, or even push for 1000 Yards, and yet he's going UFA! That's a Top 40 finish, at least, and quite possibly considerably more! That translates to good value in the 9th Round, much less as a UFA! A huge steal in the late Rounds.

XB Adam Humphries ~ His ADP is currently about #312 ~ UFA ~ the 103rd Ranked WideOut.

Par Value. How very strange that Humphries would pass on playing for Tom Brady, as he reportedly did, last year, to sign with Tennessee, which gave him $36 Million for 4 years and then evidently forgot he was on the team. Humphries, seemingly ascendant and poised for 1000 Yards, disappeared. I am an enormous Fan of Coach Michael Vrabel, but baffled by this move. Perhaps things will be clearer, a year, hence. But I wouldn't bet a Draft Pick on that.

WB Travis Kelce ~ His ADP Is currently 18th, middle of the 2nd Round, 1st Ranked WingBack.

Par Value. The Great One, who would've been a Patriot, had I been running the War Room, back when he was drafted, is worth every penny of his Premium. He's incredibly productive, and he's incredibly reliable.

WB George Kittle ~ His current ADP is about 23rd, late 2nd Round, the 2nd Ranked WingBack.

Par Value! A SuperStar in his prime!

FB Amari Cooper ~ His current ADP is about 27th, early 3rd Round, the 9th Ranked WideOut.

Par Value. Cooper is a Star in his prime, worth every penny. Lamb is getting a lot of hype, but not only do I strongly suspect that he'll considerably less Market Share than is generally expected, I believe that this Offense is poised to expand. Now that the previous Coach's catatonic approach is a thing of the past, fresh life comes to Dallas. Cooper'll get his, I think.

SE Allen Robinson ~ His current ADP is about 38th, early 4th Round, the 15th Ranked WideOut.

Par Value. Robinson is a Stud in his prime, who finished 12th, last year, and who gets tons of Targets, but I have no problem with The Market giving'm a slight downgrade, as the Offensive Line might take a step back, this year.

WB Mark Andrews ~ His ADP is currently about 40th, early 4th Round.

Par Value. So far, it's certainly looking like I was as wrong about Andrews being overrated in the 2018 Draft as I was about Jackson. He has all the looks of a Rising Star, right now. He was the #5 WingBack, last year, and is being projected to ascend to #4. The concern is that the young WideOuts will eat into his Target Market Share. But that might work just as strongly in his favor, as their threats open up space for'm. He is currently Jackson's #1 target, so that scenario could translate into Andrews retaining a slightly smaller share of a considerably more productive pie. And with the Ravens inexplicably trading away Hayden Hurst ~ presumably to shift some Market Share to the young WideOuts ~ a young, talented competitor for Snaps at WingBack is out'f the way, to Andrews's statistical benefit. He's well positioned.

WB Zachary Ertz ~ His ADP is currently about 48th, late 4th Round, the 4th Ranked WingBack.

Overvalued. Ertz is a SuperStar in'is prime, and his Stock has actually slid from the late 3rd Round, a few months ago, but I feel that there's a bit more risk involved with him, due to the continuing ascension of Goedert, the injuries to the Offensive Line, the drafting of Jalen Reagor, and the likely return to full health of Alshon Jeffrey and José Joaquín Arcega Whiteside, the latter 2 presenting large Targets that will naturally compete with Ertz and Goedert for Short Yardage and Red Zone Targets.

WB Darren Waller ~ His ADP is currently about #60, very late 5th Round, the 5th Ranked WingBack.

Par Value. Waller, a long time favorite of mine ~ I love the Georgia State Yellow Jackets, baby! 222-0!! ~ would seem to be generally expected to take a small step back after his sudden, shocking, break out campaign. Or perhaps it'd be more accurate to attribute his tracking 5th among WingBacks, despite being young, on the rise, and scoring 4th, last year, to applying a Wafer Thin Resume Discount, as The Market seems to be doing. And that seems reasonable to me.

FB Terry McLaurin ~ His ADP is currently about #63, early 6th Round, the 26th Ranked WideOut.

Sleeper! McLaurin had an exceptional Rookie campaign, despite a bad situation, finishing 24th, and I see plenty of reason, considering that he's the indisputable #1 WideOut in Washington, to expect a strong step forward, this year. Even a moderate improvement to 75/1080/8 or so would translate into about 15th or so, warranting an early 4th Round Pick.

XB Steven Sims ~ His ADP is currently about #300, UFA, the 96th Ranked WideOut.

SuperDooper DeeperSleeper!! Sims quietly emerged down the stretch, last year, racking up 36 Targets over the last 4 weeks, and producing a 20/230/4 line! The clear #2 behind McLaurin, Sims seems to me poised to at least be a good Bet to rack up 66/800/5 numbers, or even push for 1000 Yards, and yet he's going UFA! That's a Top 40 finish, at least, and quite possibly considerably more! That translates to good value in the 9th Round, much less as a UFA! A huge steal in the late Rounds.


WB Rob Gronkowski ~ His current ADP is about 72nd, late 6th Round, the 6th Ranked WingBack.

Par Value! Resurgent Rob rides, again! I expect that he'll start slowly, but one aspect of Kong that is generally underrated, is his wisdom: he listens, he learns, and he improves. I always said that tales of his demise were vastly exaggerated, two years ago, and now that he's had a chance to rest his bones, I'm expecting a resurgence ~ after a growing pain or two ~ to greatness!

FB Michel Gallup ~ His current ADP is about 72nd, late 6th Round, the 31st Ranked WideOut.

Sleeper! Gallup finished 20th, last year, in his breakout Sophomore campaign, so The Market clearly believes that the drafting of Lamb will not only bleed off Gallup's ascension, but reverse it! I think that that's a mistake. Lamb is a raw Route Runner who quite possibly will attract a far lesser Market Share as a Rookie than virtually everyone seems to believe, I believe. A repeat, more'r less, of last year's success ~ and, therefore, about a 20th place finish, once again ~ seems to me to be a justifiable estimate of Gallup's projection, which would translate to about the 50th pick or so, approximately the early 5th Round.

WB Evan Engram  ~ His ADP is currently about 77th, middle 7th Round, the 7th Ranked WingBack.

Par Value. Engram finished 19th, last year, but he missed half the season. Mind you, Kaden Smith was remarkably effective as his substitute, and must therefore be considered a threat to Market Share, though if the Giants are smart, they'll simply make substantial use of both'f'm. Furthermore, Engram has now missed significant playing time for 2 straight years, now, and is officially suspect. But he's got Top 3 potential, so a 7th Ranking seems, to me, to represent an appropriate Risk Discount.

WB Hunter Henry ~ His Average Draft Position is currently about 77th, middle of the 6th Round, the #8 Ranked WingBack.

Par Value. Henry actually finished as the #8 WingBack, last year, his 3rd. He's been steadily improving, and one's tempted to project him to add another 100 Yards a couple TouchDown, but the transition with the Offensive Line, though ultimately to his Fantasy FootBall advantage, if things work out, especially at Tackle, because he'd have to block, less, and receive, more, clouds his short-term picture, as does the uncertain outlook at QuarterBack. #8 sounds just about right.

WB Jared Cook ~ His current ADP is about 80th, mid 7th Round, the 7th Ranked WingBack.

Par Value. Cook's now been in the league for 11 years, and at 33 is officially dog-old. Do you remember his best 3 year stretch, by far? Of course you do: 2017-2019. Projecting continued success gets to be an increasingly rickety undertaking, but he is clearly the best of the WingBack crew in New Orleans, and should be even more reliable, his 2nd year in town.

WB Tyler Higbee ~ His current ADP is about 96th, late 8th Round, the 10th Ranked WingBack.

Par Value. Higbee is tricky. His spectacular late-season surge made clear what I said years ago: He's a phenomenal Player, in real life and in Fantasy. But the Rams actually went out and spent a 2nd Rounder on Van Jefferson ~ a wise move, mind you, as Jefferson is a remarkable FootBall Player and Binky of mine ~ which would seem to strongly suggest that, despite Higbee's BreakOut Month ~ December ~ they're going to continue to focus on 3 Wides, not 2 WingBacks.

FB Cederian Lamb ~ His current ADP is about 96th, late 8th Round, the 38th Ranked WideOut.

Overrated! Nothing against Lamb, and he may very well ascend into the prominent role that virtually everyone seem to expect of him, this year, but I say that his Route Running is raw, and that it's therefore likely that his Rookie campaign will produce a few growing pains, and sporadic production. I think he's a risky Bet to make, this year, and should be a Late Round Flier.


Austin Hooper ~ His ADP is currently about 98th, early 9th Round, 9th Ranked WingBack.

Blue Chip Beast Bargain! His ADP calls for a bit of a slide from last year's 7th place finish, presumably because Hooper, who was signed off the Falcons in Free Agency, will have to compete with David Njoku for Snaps, and with both Odell Beckham and Jarvis Landry for Targets, Landry in particular for Short and Intermediate Targets. But there are two interesting factors that both play in Hooper's favor: First, the new Head Coach, Kevin Stefanski, just paid Hooper an enormous pile of money, making him, at least temporarily, the highest-paid WingBack in all the land. That doesn't transpire, unless Hooper's gonna be featured. Second, Landry's recovering from surgery and'll likely start slowly. Appropriate value for Hooper, as I see it, would be about the 5th or 6th Round, so he'd be a bargain in the 9th.

WB Noah Fant ~ His ADP is currently 100th, Middle 9th Round, the 11th Ranked WingBack.

Sleeper! Fant's Rookie Production was inconsistent, but nevertheless impressive, and he oozes Star Potential. I have his value pegged at about the 750/8 range, but it wouldn't surprise me in the least, to see him push 1000 Yards. I estimate Fant's value as about the 5th or 6th overall WingBack, and that projects, as it happens, to about the 5th or 6th Round.

FB Darius Slayton ~ His ADP is currently about 108th, late 9th Round, the 43rd Ranked WideOut.

Sleeper! Slayton, who I was very high on, a year ago, despite his 5th Round Pedigree, still doesn't get the Love that he deserves, even after an outstanding Rookie campaign. He finished 33rd as a Rookie, yet is projected to go 43rd as a Sophomore, even though the guy slinging'm the rock ~ Jones ~ is projected to ascend from 23rd to 16th!!! Idiocy. Mind you, the likelihood of the Giants having severe problems at Offensive Tackle puts a damper on Slayton's short-term upside, because his deep threat potential will likely suffer, from Jones not having enough time to get the ball to'm. Even so, Slayton is a rapidly rising Star. I strongly suspect that he goes something like 72/1080/10 this year, which'd project to around 15th, 3rd/4th Round.

WB Hayden Hurst ~ His current ADP is about 114th, mid 10th Round, the 12th Ranked WingBack.

Blue Chip Beast Bargain! Hurst is poised for a 3rd campaign BreakOut Year, the Falcons paid dearly to acquire his services, and he seems to me to be a strong Bet to go Top 10, which would warrant a 7th Round Pick.

XB Sterling Shepherd ~ His ADP is currently about 121st, early 11th Round, the 49th Ranked WideOut.

Par Value. I like Shepherd very much, but he suffered multiple concussions, last year, so I attribute substantial risk to his profile. Mind you, if he plays 16 Games and Jones is running for his life, he prove to be a tremendous bargain!

XB Golden Tate ~ His ADP is currently about 123rd, early 11th Round, the 50th Ranked WideOut.

SemiSleeper. I've always liked Tate, and he finished 41st, last year, even despite missing 5 Games, 4 to a PED suspension. He's getting up there, having just turned 32, and he's got competition for Targets. Even so, projecting his as a 4th or 5th WideOut seems like a severe Discount, to me. Tate gets the job done, and he's a good bet to produce, regardless of circumstances, so long as he doesn't miss much time. To me, he's got a 60/800/6 feel to'm, which'd place'm more like 3rd/4th than 4th/5th, projecting to the 8th Round or so. Not spectacular, but a moderate bargain, in my perception, worth picking up.


WB Thomas Hockenson ~ His current ADP is about 132nd, late 11th Round, the 15th Ranked WingBack.

Sleeper! Hockenson's ankle was still not 100%, even 3 weeks ago, which dampens my expectations, but he's such a supremely talented 2nd year WingBack, and one with such outstanding Intangibles, that I am expecting an enormous surge from him in Coach Bevell's Offense. I foresee a good shot at a Top 10 finish, maybe even pushing Top 5. Late 7th Round Value.

FB Jalen Reagor ~ His ADP is currently about 133rd, early 12th Round, the 51st Ranked WideOut.

Par Value. Reagor is highly talented and tough, and should produce as a Rookie, but with all the competition for Targets in Philly, and particularly with the Offensive Line likely to have issues, 50th or so seems like a reasonable projection for'm.


WB Michael Gesicki ~ His ADP is currently about 135th or so, early 12th Round.

Par Value. I'd be tempted to rate'm higher, as Gesicki closed the back stretch of 2019 strong, racking up 417/5 the last 9 weeks, and is likely to be even more productive, in the future. I'm pumping the breaks only because that Offensive Line seems likely to go through some early growing pains, as quite possibly the entire Line gets blessedly replaced. Theoretically, that could play to Gesicki's advantage, as FitzMagic repeatedly dumps it off to'm, for fear of his life! Theoretically. More likely, it's pure chaos for a month or two or three, followed by a strong finish.


FB Anthony Miller ~ His current ADP is about 138th, mid 12th Round, the 53rd Ranked WideOut.

SuperDooper DeeperSleeper!! I called Miller Highly Overrated when the Bears drafted'm in the 2nd Round, in 2018, giving him a 4th Round Grade, which I stand by, in terms of what his services were worth, then. But my Spidey Sense is telling me that Miller's about to launch. I foresee a big run to the 75/1000/8 range, which would likely be a Top 20 finish, warranting a Pick somewhere in the late 4th or early 5th Round range, and therefore a phenomenal bargain in the 12th Round!


WB Dallas Goedert ~ His ADP is currently about 138th, middle 12th Round, the 17th Ranked WingBack.

SemiSleeper. The perception seems to be that Goedert's 10th place finish, last year was fleeting, due his Market Share enjoying a bump from injuries to others. That's certainly true enough, but Goedert's got Star potential, and I don't believe that the Eagles invested a 2nd Rounder on him in 2018, despite already having Ertz, because they planned on spending a Reserve's Snaps on'm. There's a lot of competition for Targets in Philly, mind you, but Goedert's a riser and could repeat last year's success.

WB Jonnu Smith ~ His ADP is currently about #150, middle 13th Round, the 17th Ranked WingBack.

Sleeper!! I was a big fan of Smith during the 2017 Draft, and he seems to me to be ready to launch. Delanie Walker, a God of mine, has moved on, so Smith now gets the gig all to himself. He got a head start on that, last year, starting the last 10 Games after Walker got hurt, but produced random results. In fact, he finished 17th, so The Market projecting him to duplicate that in 16 Starts is obviously pessimistic, and that mystifies me. More to the point, though, is that he's both an explosive weapon and a savage Blocker, so he'll rarely need to come off the field, and there's not really anybody else compelling on the roster. The Titans prioritize the Run, but in terms of Fantasy production, that's more a problem for WideOuts, not WingBacks. Smith is a strong candidate for a Top 10 finish, an 8th or 9th Round Value.

SE Alshon Jeffrey ~ His ADP is currently about 154th, late 13th Round, the 55th Ranked WideOut.

Par Value. Jeffrey certainly has the potential to dramatically outperform the 55th slot, which is of course a speculative average of the wide spread of slots that he's drawing, this Summer, but he has to stay on the Field to do so. Therein, as they say, lies the rub, as Jeffrey has been plagued by injuries. That, thick competition, and the injuries to the O Line incur a lot of Risk.

Eric Ebron ~ His ADP is currently about 160th, early 14th Round, the 18th Ranked WingBack.

Sleeper! Here, too, there is more risk involved than usual, as Vance MacDonald is still around, but Ebron's clearly the more dynamic Player. The way that I figure it is that MacDonald split 1000 Yards with Jesse James in 2018, 600/400, and that that seems like a very viable projection for 2020, with Ebron getting the 600, and quite possibly more. Ebron's actually averaged just about 600 over the last 4 years. He's been horribly inconsistent, mind you, but he's also played for 3 organizations in that time, and had his best season in 2018 with Andrew Luck. If Ebron hits 600 Yards with a few TouchDowns, we're talking about a push for the Top 10, and that translates to the early 9th Round! Boo yah!

WB Jack Doyle ~ His ADP is currently about 162nd, middle 14th Round, the 20th Ranked WingBack.

Par Value. I love Doyle, but that's because I love Blocking. In Fantasy FootBall terms, his Game is...moribund!

XB DeSean Jackson ~ His ADP is currently about 165th, late 14th Round, the 59th Ranked WideOut.

Par Value. All 3 WideOuts here have the potential to significantly outperform their ADPs, especially with XB Marquis Goodwin opting out, and if Jackson stays healthy, this time, he could be a steal, all right. But as with Jeffrey, sustainable health is a question, because Jackson missed most'f last year, and because he's 34. There's also the same issues as with all Philly WideOuts, those being the heavy competition for Targets, and, especially with a Zoomer like Jackson, the O Line.

WB Blake Jarwin ~ His ADP is currently about #175, middle 15th Round, 21st Ranked WingBack.

SuperSleeper!! I know that Jarwin allegedly took a hit when the CowBoys drafted Cedarian Lamb, but The Market appears to've failed to notice that the Player who drew the 4th most Targets on the Cowboys, last year ~ none other than the departed legend, Jason Whitten ~ drew 83 Targets ~ tied for 3rd, actually ~ and that that was with an Ascending Star named Blake Jarwin breathing down his neck and encroaching on his Market Share! Dalton Schultz is an intriguing Reserve, but hardly the threat to Jarwin's Market Share that Jarwin was to Whitten's. That's ironic, considering that Schultz was a 4th Rounder, and Jarwin, a UFA, but true, just the same. My point is that if Jarwin gets, say, the same 83 Targets that Whitten got last year, but at Jarwin's vastly superior 8.7 YPT, that's 722 Yards! And that doesn't even factor in the fact that Lamb is a Rookie, and a very raw one, despite all his hype, and that he is therefore the farthest thing from certain to earn a huge chunk of Market Share in his Rookie campaign. Seems to me that Jarwin's got a very good shot at placing #3 on the Target list, is what I mean to say. Furthermore, that's not even factoring in the likelihood of the 83/41 Target Split between Whitten and Jarwin last year being likely to be more heavily skewed in Jarwin's favor, versus Dalton! You see where I'm going with this. Darwin is actually beautifully positioned to make an enormous 3rd Year Jump. The only question, really, is whether the new Head Coach, that West Coast Offense afficionado Michael McCarthy, will impose his Offense on Dallas ~ one that is unfriendly to WingBacks ~ or let Offensive Coordinator and brilliant mind, Kellen Moore, roll with the current Offense, and Coach McCarthy has agreed to let Moore coordinate as he sees fit! So when I add it all up, I'm looking at another 125 Targets or so going to WingBacks, with Jarwin obviously poised to draw the Lion's share, so I'm thinking 64/750/6 or thereabouts is a good estimate of what to expect.

And if you find these arguments persuasive, then all that translates to a solid Top 10 finish for Jarwin ~ that would've been 8th, last year ~ which in turn translates to about a late 7th Round Pick. A SuperSleeper, baby!

WB Gregory Olsen ~ His current ADP is about 176th, mid 15th Round, the 22nd Ranked WingBack.

Par Value. Late Round Flier is spot on. The Hawks do little with WingBacks, and Olsen is dog-old.

WB Ian Thomas ~ His current ADP is about 180th, late 15th Round, the 23rd Ranked WingBack.

Par Value. Thomas has Star potential, but with the magnificent Christian McCaffrey on the field, his prospects for enough Targets to eat are dire, indeed. In a transitional Offense, mind you, his value could skyrocket should McCaffrey get hurt.

WB Irvin Smith ~ His current ADP is about 210th, UFA, the 26th Ranked WingBack.

WB Kyle Rudolph ~ His current ADP is about 216th, UFA, the 27th Ranked WingBack.

Par Value. I like both WingBacks as FootBall players, but agree that they pretty much cancel each other out in Fantasy FootBall. Obviously, either one become very valuable if the other misses any time, but that goes without saying.

WB O'Terrius Howard ~ His current ADP is about 216th, UFA, the 25th Ranked WingBack.

Par Value. A supreme talent, but there'll be many mouths to feed, it would seem!

WB Cole Kmet ~ His current ADP is about 246th, UFA, the 29th Ranked WingBack.

Par Value. Kmet is a top shelf Talent, but a raw Rookie, wrestling with Graham for Targets.

WB Jace Sternberger ~ His current ADP is about 255th, UFA, the 31st Ranked WingBack.

Blue Light Special! Sternberger's Stock is in the gutter, having missed virtually his whole Rookie campaign, follwing which he missed a big chunk of Camp because of The Plague. But this is a very well-coordinated Offense with a minimum of explosive Weaponry, and Sternberger is a phenomenal matchup with tremendous Intangibles. I foresee'm rapidly rising into a position of prominence, this year, despite his ghostly start. 40/500/5 is very attainable, a terrific Late Round Flier value.
WB Tyler Eifert ~ His ADP is currently about #256 ~ Undrafted Free Agent, the 35th Ranked WingBack.

Blue Light Special! 2 big factors playing against Eifert are that he's always hurt, and that 2019 3rd Rounder, Joshua Oliver, is projected to be the Starter. But Eifert may've finally rounded the corner on the injury bug, last year, suiting up for all 16 Games for the first time in his 7 year career. And Oliver is very talented, but was raw a year ago, and missed nearly the entire campaign because of injury, thus stunting his growth. The best factor might be that the new Head Coach, Jay Gruden, has a long history of aggressively employing 2 WingBacks, extensively. Furthermore, the best example of Gruden's love affair with WingBacks is Eifert, himself, as Gruden had already developed 2x Pro Bowler Jermaine Gresham, for the Bengals, yet spent a 1st Rounder on Eifert, in 2013. Eifert may at long last finally pay off!

WB Jimmy Graham ~ His current ADP is about 261st, UFA, the 32nd Ranked WingBack.

Par Value. Graham is a top shelf Talent, but seems to've been aging for several years, now, he's competing with Kmet and other talented Reserves for Targets, and the Bears Offense does not feature the WingBack.

WB Logan Thomas ~ His ADP is currently about #270, UFA, the 33rd Ranked WingBack.

SuperSleeper!! On what I strongly suspect will be a far better team, this year, than is generally expected, I believe that Thomas is poised, at long last, to emerge. His has been a long journey since he arrived, in the 2014 Draft, as a horrible QuarterBack prospect. He eventually gave up that ghost, and has been working, since 2016, to earn Snaps as a WingBack. He's been progressing, and the reports that I'm reading now are extremely positive. We all know about off season hype, but in my judgement, he's finally reached that point where it all starts to click. We'll see. He's barely accumulated 300 Yards in his career, so far, but I'm so bullish on his chances, that I believe he could triple that, this year, or better! As preposterous as that may sound, it's worth noting that The Athletes Formerly Known as RedSkins offer very little in the way of competition for Targets. Thomas has an enormous opportunity in front of him. A gigantic and sudden emergence, a la Darren Waller, last year, is a distinct possibility. I'd be surprised if he isn't at least good for 500/600 Yards or so and a half dozen TouchDowns. And if he manages that, we're talking about Top 10 production from the 33rd Ranked WingBack, currently still slated to go undrafted! Nice!

WB Gerald Everett ~ His current ADP is about 273rd, UFA, the 34th Ranked WingBack.

Par Value. Given the opportunity, Everett is a Top 5 Talent, but as now a 2nd fiddle to Higbee, himself a Top 5 Talent who's now proven it, in an Offense evidently not committed to WingBacks, Everett is a highly talented UFA Flier.

Joshua Oliver ~ His ADP is currently about #312 ~ UFA ~ Unranked.

Blue Light Special! Coach Gruden has had extraordinary success with rapidly developing WingBacks, including Gresham, Eifert, and my erstwhile SuperBinky, Joshua Reed. I believe that the most likely scenario in 2020 is that Eifert leads the statistical way, regardless of Snaps, but while Oliver's Rookie campaign was in many ways a wash, putting Eifert at what I'd consider to be an initial advantage, that doesn't change the fact that there're 1000 growing pains that are now behind Oliver. I expect that he will develop rapidly, and Coach Gruden is more than capable of fielding 2 600 Yard WingBacks.

WB Jordan Akins ~ UFA

Sleeper! Akins enters his 3rd year, having steadily improved for 2. I was a big fan of his when he got drafted. He's a former BaseBall Player who switched back to FootBall really late, but who's been rapidly developing as a Receiver and Blocker. He's going UFA because he shares WingBack duties with Darren Fells, the Power to Akins's Speed, and who's a tremendous Red Zone Target. But with Hopkins gone, that's 150 Targets that need to get redistributed, and Akins is extraordinarily talented and perfectly positioned to reap the rewards. I foresee'm pushing Top 12 Production, quite conceivably landing decisively in the Top 10, which puts his value in the 9th or 10th Round, as I see it.

WB Drew Sample ~ UFA

Par Value, because he's expected to split Snaps, but he's a 2019 2nd Rounder who was decidedly worth it. He's got terrific potential both as Blocker and Receiver, so he could conceivably come to dominate Market Share, before long. I wouldn't drafting him, as yet, but I'd definitely recommend keeping an eye on'm, though he's more of a 2021 Play, I think.

WB Christopher Herndon ~ UFA

Blue Light Special! Herndon is young and talented, but unreliable, missing virtually all of his 2nd season, 2019, because of one suspension and two injuries. He did flash plenty of potential in 2018, however, and if he stays healthy, he'll be Arnold's most talented weapon, as well as a handy safety outlet. Definitely worth a Late Round Flier, I think.

Dawson Knox ~ UFA!!

Sleeper!! Knox is a former QuarterBack who was raw, going into his Rookie 2019 campaign, and went threw the inevitable growing pains. And now the Bills have traded for Stefon Diggs. But he is a 1st Round Talent with outstanding Intelligence and Drive, he's got those growing pains behind him, and is absolutely and utterly poised for an enormous Sophomore surge! I'd assess'm as about a 9th/10th Round Value, evidently available in the 16th! That could change, though!

Devin Asiasi ~ UFA

Blue Light Special! I lean towards less likely than more, of Asiasi making enough of a statistical impact to justify drafting, going into his Rookie year, but he is an extraordinary and underrated FootBall Player, one who I believe will make a significant impact on the Field as Blocker and Receiver, this very year, and might sneak into the Top 20!

QB Patrick Mahomes ~ His Average Draft Position is currently 12th, end of the 1st Round, 1st Ranked QuarterBack.

Par Value. After his entirely foreseeable statistical retrenchment, following his statistically epic 2018 campaign, Mahomes is pegged to bounce back buoyantly, and bounce back buoyantly, I believe he will! I don't foresee a return to his 2018 50 TouchDown level ~ though I'm not ruling it out! ~ but Mahomes does have a 35-40 TouchDown air about'm, I must say, which would probably translate to being the top scoring QuarterBack in Fantasy FootBall. I sense that last year's top scoring Fantasy QuarterBack, Lamar Jackson, is due for a retrenchment of his own, as Defenses catch up to him, rendering Mahomes all the more attractive a candidate to resume his place as King of Fantasy Mountain.

QB Lamar Jackson ~ His Average Draft Position is currently about 16th, early 2nd Round.

Par Value. That's #2, behind Patrick Mahomes, of course. Frankly, I strongly suspect that his standing as #2, even as last year's #1, is shakier than might be expected, just due to the natural tendency for things to revert to the mean. However, there doesn't seem to be an obvious choice as to who might take the #2 spot. I and anyone who studies these things expected Mahomes to take a huge statistical step backward, last year, which he did, but The Market seems to be anticipating a return to 2018's statistical glory, which I do not. All of which is to say that Jackson could repeat, quite conceivably, as Statistical Champion! Or he could slide to 8th, as Defense figure'm out! The Ravens have several prospectively productive young WideOuts, though, so even if Jackson runs less, he may more that make up for it!

QB Dakota Prescott ~ His Average Draft Position is currently about #49, early 5th Round, the 5th Ranked QuarterBack.

Blue Chip Beast Bargain! Prescott, Russell Wilson, Kyler Murray, and DeShaun Watson seem to form a pretty distinct 2nd Tier of Fantasy QuarterBacks, with Prescott coming in 3rd. As I see it, though, he is clearly the best of the bunch. For starters, he scored 2nd overall, last year, with Patrick Mahomes struggling with injuries. And his Weaponry is improved, this year, at Tight End and 3rd WideOut. Wilson's terrific, and so is Watson, but Wilson's upside has peaked, Watson just inexplicably lost DeAndre Hopkins, and Murray gaining the latter isn't enough to bring him to Prescott's level.

QB Russell Wilson ~ His current Average Draft Position is about 56th, mid 5th Round, the 4th Ranked QuarterBack.

Par Value. The Hawks are resurgent, and Wilson is a Star in'is prime!

QB Kyler Murray ~ His current Average Draft Position is about 57th, late 5th Round, the 6th Ranked QuarterBack.

Par Value. Murray finished 7th as a Rookie! And now he's got DeAndre Hopkins to throw it to! DC's'll have Tape on'm, now, of course, but Murray will also be a year older, wiser, and more comfortable. Could be an exciting year!

QB DeShaun Watson ~ His Average Draft Position is currently about 57th, late 5th Round, the 6th Ranked QuarterBack.

Par Value. Watson was the 4th highest scorer at QuarterBack, last year, so his ranking 6th clearly means that The Market's anticipating less production in the wake of the inexplicable DeAndre Hopkins Trade. Hopkins having accounted for 150 Targets, last year, more than twice that of anyone else, such a slide seems pretty warranted. I'll add, though, that with Watson's continued evolution, which I expect, with the acquisition ~ although an outrageously costly one! ~ of Laremy Tunsil to man Left Tackle, and with several accomplished receiving options on the team, Watson could actually quite conceivably improve on his 2019 numbers. It wouldn't shock me, in the slightest, though his ADP makes sense.

QB Drew Brees ~ His current Average Draft Position is about 69th, late 6th Round, the 7th Ranked QuarterBack.

Par Value. Old Man Brees, the 2nd Best QuarterBack of the first 20 years of this Millennium ~ yes, a better QuarterBack than the precious Peyton Manning and Aaron Rodgers, Fantasy FootBall legends ~ is still also an outstanding Fantasy FootBall option, beyond being a tremendous real life QuarterBack. The Saints are poised for a Super Bowl run, and Brees is the man.

QB Matthew Ryan ~ His current Average Draft Position is about 76th, early 7th Round, the 10th Ranked QuarterBack.

Par Value. He finished 11th, last year. Same Offense. Same Players. Productive.

QB Tom Brady ~ His current Average Draft Position is about 75th, early 7th Round, the 9th Ranked QuarterBack.

Par Value. The Greatest Ever exhibited an ocean of statistical signs of finally dropping off the edge of the proverbial cliff, at the age of 756, last year: his 2nd half, which I, a Patriots Fan, watched, one game at a time, was apocalyptic. And, yet...Watching him throw, I did not perceive any short-arming, just a guy repeatedly throwing it away, in lieu of our having any Receivers...This impression has actually been recently reinforced ~ Camp Hype noted, of course, mind you ~ by WingBack #3, the remarkable Cameron Brate, and by The Greatest Ever WingBack, Sir Robert Gronkowski, Esquire. In any case, anyone who believes that Tom Brady built his Legend on FirePower is a drooling idiot. He is to QuarterBacks what Sir Gregory "Mad Ox" Maddux is to Pitchers, only more so. And now he's got an excellent Coaching staff, an excellent Offensive Line, and a sea of outstanding Receiving options. The Best Ever is poised to add another chapter or two to his Legend. Here's hoping that he does so.

QB Joshua Allen ~ His Average Draft Position is about 75th, about the beginning of the 7th Round.

OverRated! Allen has of course been a far better Fantasy FootBall QuarterBack than actual QuarterBack, and he's entering his 3rd year ~ often a breakout year ~ behind what could be a dominant Offensive Line, on top of which he's just had a genuine Star in Stefon Diggs added to his arsenal, the acquisition of the services of whom improves the prospects of everybody in that Offense...But I believe that there is a very real risk of an Investment in Joshua Allen going to zero. I compared Allen to the likes of Paxton Lynch when he was drafted in 2018, and so far he's been proving me right. It's entirely possible that he loses his job to Jake Fromm, at some point, hence the danger of his value vaporizing.

QB Aaron Rodgers ~ His current Average Draft Position is about 78th, mid 7th Round, the 11th Ranked QuarterBack.

Blue Chip Beast Bargain! I have little regard for Aaron Rodgers, who is both a jackass and laughably overrated, mostly by idiots who can't tell the difference between Fantasy FootBall and real FootBall, but he is an extraordinary Fantasy FootBall QuarterBack who was adjusting to a new Offense, last year. I believe that this perennial Top 5 finisher has a strong chance of pushing to do so, yet again. I'd bump'm to around the 8th or 9th best Bet, so maybe a Round earlier in Value.

QB Carson Wentz ~ His Average Draft Position is currently about 84th, late 7th Round, the 12th Ranked QuarterBack.

Par Value. Wentz is of course a rising Star, if he can stay healthy, he finished 9th, last year, with scraps at WideOut, and Philly has aggressively sought to improve his Weaponry. Nevertheless, I concur with his dropping a few slots. First off, his health profile, while improving, is still a little suspect. More importantly, he's lost both his Right Guard and Left Tackle to injury. Philadelphia's Offense is likely to have a rocky start to the year, and might struggle for most or all of its course.

QB Baker Mayfield ~ His Average Draft Position is currently 100th, middle of the 9th Round, 13th Ranked QuarterBack.

Par Value. I was a staunch advocate of Mayfield, well before the Draft, when he was projected in the 4th or 5th Round, back in the Autumn of 2017, giving him a 1st Round Grade before anyone on the Planet ~ except Baker, himself, of course.

Currently, however, he's on a career trajectory of another QuarterBack who I gave a 1st Round Grade to when absolutely nobody else was, who rose all the way to the 1st Round...and then proved to make me look not nearly as shrewd as I previously had: Blake Bortles! Mayfield had a horrible Sophomore campaign, and is suddenly rapidly approaching a breaking point of no return. His interview with Rex Ryan, where he reportedly admitted that he needs to stop getting distracted by arguments with people outside the team, was moderately encouraging, because that's exactly what the problem has been. Mayfield's not the type to shine people on, so if he said it, he meant it. But whether or not that will ultimately translate to the intensive work needed to develop as a QuarterBack, I'll believe it when I see it. He's been exhibiting a mentality like that of a WideOut, not that of a QuarterBack, and that does not inspire my faith. I love his passionate intensity, but his Chip on the Shoulder mentality has been overplayed, and has outlived its value.

He spends way too much time reacting to what people say and think about him ~ or what he imagines they do ~ and not enough time ~ it seems to me ~ in the tape room, studying, analyzing, and drilling, drilling, drilling.

Time to grow up, kid, and fast, before you've blown the opportunity of a lifetime.

This Offense is poised for an enormous step forward, and Mayfield is it's QuarterBack. Will the coming season prove that he's truly awoken, and has started applying his extraordinary mental and physical skills to the full extend that his team deserves? I do not know. But the possibility is worth betting on, because Mayfield has the potential for Greatness.

QB Matthew Stafford ~ His current Average Draft Position is about 101st, mid 9th Round, the 13th Ranked QuarterBack.

Sleeper! Stafford's Market Value is actually quite higher than I expected, considering his unspectacular resume, but it seems that The Market has quite shrewdly cottoned onto his strong half-season of 2019, and wisely extrapolated that, despite a limited history of success, Stafford finally has an Offensive Coordinator, in Darrell Bevell, with the wisdom to unleash Stafford's considerable Talent, after a decade in the league! I foresee Stafford making a run at a Top 5 performance, possibly even producing at a Top 3 level, and certainly one of the Top 10 best Bets. I'm thinking that he's a 6th or 7th Round value.

QB Daniel Jones ~ His Average Draft Position is currently about 105th, late 9th Round, the 16th Ranked QuarterBack.

Overrated! Jones finished 23rd, last year, as a Rookie. A jump to 16th in his Sophomore year is perfectly reasonable, I believe. It's just that I don't belong to that school of thought. Full disclosure: I panned Jones harshly, a year ago, and am still not yet convinced that he's got The Right Stuff to succeed. But he would not be the first QuarterBack that I missed by a mile on!

Of even  greater concern to me is that Nate "Universal" Solder opted out of the season, thus thrusting Rookie Andrew Thomas into the Left Tackle role and Reserve Matthew Peart into the starting Right Tackle role. An Offensive Line which I had already projected as mediocre could very well prove to be horrible. Jones has several good Weapons to work with, so the 16th spot projection is justifiable, but I believe that there is also a very low floor, here, and considerable danger of realizing it!

QB Jared Goff ~ His current Average Draft Position is about 120th, late 10th Round, the 18th Ranked QuarterBack.

Sell!!! That Offensive Line is collapsing around him...and Goff ain't so good with collapsing Offensive Lines! The Rams are very well coached, and may turn it all around faster than most expect of'm, but 2020 is the year when the Bill comes due for the Trades, the Expenses, and the general mortaging of the future that they indulged in, in order to make their recent run. The Offensive Line has born maybe the worst of it. Goff has regressed in spectacular fashion over the last 1.5 seasons, looking signifcantly less like that MVP candidate that he was, and a lot more like Blake Bortles. Yikes. Late Round Flier.

QB Benjamin Roethlisberger ~ His Average Draft Position is currently 130th, late 11th Round, 18th ranked QuarterBack.

SuperDooper DeeperSleeper!! Caveat: A risky one, as Roethlisberger just turned 38 ~ the traditional Line of Death for QuarterBacks ~ and doesn't appear to take care'f himself anywhere nearly as well as Sir Thomas Brady.

And he was certainly awful, early on, last year, before getting "injured." However, that awfulness early on was before the crucial development of James Washington and Diontae Johnson. The concern, of course, is that LeVeon Bell and Antonio Brown have left town, and that Big Ben's early 2019 is a true indicator of what we should expect of him.

That, and the fact that he is now not only officially an old man, but is trying to come back from last year's "injury", would seem to explain his perfectly justifiable low Ranking. And these concerns are indeed perfectly valid.

I think that he's an excellent gamble to take, though, because if he's healthy and his arm hasn't fallen off ~ hey, the year off may've rejuvenated him ~ then I believe he is perfectly positioned to take advantage of what is generally considered to be a sad stable of WideOuts, but which I believe to be an exciting stable of WideOuts: Washington and Johnson are both poised for classic BreakOut Years, which should open up things dramatically for JuJu Smith Schuster, and these 3 young, dynamic WideOuts are joined, in turn, not only by the equally dynamic Rookie, Chase Claypool, but by the dangerous and, dare I say it, dynamic WingBack, Eric Ebron! They've got a solid Offensive Line, Big Ben's healthy, and they are loaded with young, seasoned, and dynamic WideOuts! Big Ben could easily rocket all the way to the Top 3 in Fantasy FootBall Production. That would justify a 3rd Round Pick, baby! Again: there's risk, here, for sure, but the odds are strongly in his favor, and as a late 11th Rounder, he could quite possibly prove to be the greatest steal of this entire Draft!

QB Ryan Tannehill ~ His Average Draft Position is currently about #135, early 12th Round, the 18th Ranked QuarterBack.

Par Value. Tannehill finished 22nd last year, so his projection might seem, on the face of it, rather optimistic, but the truth is that he only started 12 Games. Had he kept up that pace for 16, he would've finished 6th! Ryan Tannehill!! Tannehill produced an utterly absurd 9.6 YPA. Amazing what playing behind an excellent Offensive Line will do for you!

It'll be interesting, though, to see how well he responds to the wrinkles he's going to run into, now that Defenses have had a year of Game Tape of him in Tennessee's System to study. Beginner's Luck is a real thing, based on knowing the other guy's tendencies without him knowing yours. Tannehill's projection, all things considered, would seem to reflect The Market's expectation that he's more likely than not to come down to Earth, as well as Tennessee's emphasis on the Running Game and its dearth of Receiving talent. There is of course the chance that 2019 will prove to be Tannehill's BreakOut Year, and that he'll be going all Drew Brees on us, from here on out. But 18th is about right, for now.

QB Kirk Cousins ~ His current Average Draft Position is about #140, mid 12th Round, the 22nd Ranked QuarterBack.

SemiSleeper! Cousins has seen his Market Value take a hit because of the wise choice to dump Stephon Diggs, but I bet more on Offenses and Intangibles than on Talent, and I believe that the Vikings have brought in outstanding Offensive minds in Offensive Coordinator Gary Kubiak and Line Coach Rick Dennison, and a moderately talented but extremely proficient replacement for Diggs in Rookie Slot End Justin Jefferson. I rank Cousins at about #15, the 9th or 10th Round.

QB Jimmy Garoppolo ~ His current Average Draft Position is about 143rd, late 12th Round, the 22nd Ranked QuarterBack.

Par Value. That's a big step back from last year's Super Bowl 14th place finish, but appropriate, I think, as all his best Weapons are beat up, to various degrees, which augers a slow start and a sluggish season.

QB Drew Lock ~ His Average Draft Position is currently about 150th, early 13th Round, the 22nd Ranked QuarterBack.

Par Value. I like the Broncos Offensive Line, and there're enough weapons to succeed, if Lock hits, and hit, he very well might. Patrick Shurmur's the new Offensive Coordinator, and he's done well, developing QuarterBacks, most recently Daniel Jones with the Giants, and, previously, Casey Keenum with the Vikings. So while I wasn't high on Lock, neither was I on Jones, for that matter, and Lock did well, down the stretch, last year. Having said all that, there's also the chance that he flops, now that opposing DC's have tape on'm, so a Late Round Lottery Ticket seems to be just about right!

Cameron Newton ~ His Average Draft Position is about 150th, middle 13th Round.

Par Value. I believe that Newton will probably win the job, but that that is far from a given, as Coach Belichick values mental and instinctive command, not Newton's strongest traits, far more than athletic ability. It is also uncertain how athletic he remains after an unhealthy 2019 campaign. Furthermore, while my Spidey Sense tells me that there's a very strong possibility that Coach Belichick and Offensive Coordinator Joshua McDaniels are poised to integrate the Option QuarterBack into their Offense, which would obviously and dramatically affect Newton's Fantasy Value to its benefit, uncertainty abounds! Newton could prove to be unprecedentedly focused, win the job, and run an Option Offense masterfully, finishing in the top 3 of Fantasy QuarterBacks...or he could get cut in July! High Ceiling, Low Floor!

QB Joseph Burrow ~ His Average Draft Position is currently about 160th, early 14th Round, 24th QuarterBack.

Sleeper!! There is certainly every possibility that the Bengals will field the most God-awful pair of Offensive Tackles in this Galaxy, and that they'll get Burrow blown up in their first Drive of the season...Having acknowledged that, I will say, as anyone who read my Bengals Prospectus knows, that I have sense that the Bengals have positioned themselves for a sudden and spectacular turnaround, following last year's 2-14 horror show. And if Burrow, with Head Coach and QuarterBack Guru ~ and noteworthy General and President! ~ Zachary Taylor's assistance, rapidly develops his outstanding quick-strike talents in this Offense, the weaponry is there for an extraordinary Rookie campaign.

I could see'm pushing the Top 10, and'd say that he's worth an 10th Rounder.

Tua Tagovailoa ~ His Average Draft Position is currently about 160th or so, middle 14th Round.

Blue Light Special! He could win the job right out'f camp, or, conversely, there's always the possibility that he doesn't play a Snap, this year, but that's obviously a remote one. The Fish didn't draft'm to sit, and FitzPatrick's pretty streaky, so he'll probably give them an excuse, sooner or later, and that'll be that. And that scenario could actually play out nicely for Tagovailoa, as the Offensive Line, coming off a horrific 2019 campaign, is likely to continue the horror show, at the beginning, as they sort things out ~ a nightmare scenario for a Rookie QuarterBack ~ yet quite conceivably be quite effective by the middle of the season, once roles are determined and everyone's had a few Games with which to synchronize. This Offense is likely to be shaky, early on, but could very well come on strong, mid-season or so. The backfield's pretty weak, too, which plays to Tagovailoa's chances of being the focal point, and lighting it up!

QB Samuel Darnold ~ His Average Draft Position is about #165, middle 14th Round.

Par Value. He's about 25th, and that sounds reasonable. Frankly, though, I wouldn't spend a Pick at all on'm. As I wrote on the Prospectus, above, I still don't know if Darnold's going to develop into an NFL caliber Starter. I love the raw material, physically, mentally, and mechanically, but he was very raw when he got drafted in 2018, and is still developing. The Offensive Line and the Weaponry are marginal, as well. The only angles in his favor are that he's young, so we have probably not seen his peak, yet, and that he's entering his 2nd year under QuarterBack Guru, Adam Gase.

QB Gardner Minshew ~ His Average Draft Position is currently #169, early 15th Round, the 27th Ranked QuarterBack.

Sleeper! Got nothing but love for Minshew Magic! Mind you, he's a far better FootBall Player than Fantasy Player. However, his new Offensive Coordinator is Jay Gruden, who first instantly turned Andy Dalton into a competitive QuarterBack in Cincinnati ~ a condition which did not last beyond his tenure, there! ~ and then went to Washington and instantly transformed Kirk Cousins into an effective QuarterBack. Minshew could surprise some people, this year!

QB Phillip Rivers ~ His Average Draft Position is currently about 147th, early 13th Round, the 21st Ranked QuarterBack.

Par Value. Whether or not Rivers's efficacy has permanently fallen off of a cliff, now that he's 38 ~ the notorious Point of No Return for every QuarterBack not named Tom Brady or that bum that Rivers once replaced, Drew Brees ~ is a matter of debate. But even if he recovers his mojo for another year or three, the Colts Offense is designed...to grind.

QB Derek Carr ~ His Average Draft Position is currently about #168, late 14th Round, the 28th Ranked QuarterBack.

Blue Light Special! With Marcus Mariota being signed for a ton of Money to be a "back up", it's obvious that Carr, who I was never high on, mind you, is slated for replacement...And yet...Carr is, in my eyes, emerging as a Dark Horse not only to unexpectedly keep his job, but to excel in Gruden's system. Definitely worth a risky flier in the Late Rounds.

QB Teddy Bridgewater ~ His current Average Draft Position is 182nd, early 16th Round, the 26th Ranked QuarterBack.

Par Value. I believe that Bridgewater, Coach Rhule and his crew, and the entire Panther team is flying under the radar, and will shock the Hell out'f most people at some point in the next 30 months, maybe the next 4. But The Plague, and the American Government's cataclysmically idiotic response to it, is likely to prove disruptive, if not outright destructive, to new Coaches attempting to implement new Systems. Bridgewater is vastly underrated as a QuarterBack, but in Fantasy FootBall terms, probably just about right as a the Late Round Flier that The Market sees him being: Slow start, strong finish, I think.

QB Dwayne Haskins ~ His Average Draft Position is currently about #256, UFA, the 32nd Ranked QuarterBack.

Par Value. I'm a moderately larger Fan of Haskins than most ~ including his Head Coach, I strongly suspect! ~ but Alexander Smith is more talented than Haskins, and if Smith is actually healthy, he'll likely soon take the job.

QB Nicholas Foles ~ His current Average Draft Position is about 289th, UFA, the 33rd Ranked QuarterBack.

QB Mitchell Trubisky ~ His current ADP is about 300th, UFA, the 34th Ranked QuarterBack.

Par Value. Both Foles and Trubisky have proven to be generally mediocre QuarterBacks, so there's a distinct possibility that whoever begins the season as the Starter will not end it...or may do both, but with a big break in the middle!

QB Alexander Smith ~ His ADP is currently about #464 ~ In The Wind!

Sleeper! The Predators ~ my other affectionate term for The Athletes Formerly Knows as RedSkins ~ are of course highly under stress and duress, right now, with low, abysmal expectations...But I believe that Coach Rivera is going to turn this team around rapidly. And while mediocrity abounds on Offense, the coaching staff is very strong. Best case scenario, mind you, I would project a short pass, ball control Offense that doesn't rack up wild Fantasy numbers. But there's enough talent to work with on that Offensive Line and among their Weaponry, that Smith, should he win the job, would be in a position to produce.

Tyrod Taylor ~ UFA

Justin Herbert ~ UFA

Par Value for both. The Offensive Line could prove greatly improved from last year's horror show, but will almost certainly take time to gel, and as for QuarterBack, itself, the most likely scenario is that Taylor starts the year and Herbert finishes it, making neither an attractive prospect for drafting. However, both are worth keeping an eye out for, as the Bolts are clearly going for an Option Offense, and 3 of the top 4 scoring Fantasy QuarterBacks, last year, were Option QuarterBacks. Additionally, they've got several legit weapons in the Passing Game. Once the Offensive Line settles in ~ that is, if the Offensive Line settles in ~ and the QuarterBack is determined, he could prove to be a very high scorer.

QB Aaron Rodgers ~ His current Average Draft Position is about 78th, mid 7th Round, the 11th Ranked QuarterBack.

Blue Chip Beast Bargain! I have little regard for Aaron Rodgers, who is both a jackass and laughably overrated, mostly by idiots who can't tell the difference between Fantasy FootBall and real FootBall, but he is an extraordinary Fantasy FootBall QuarterBack who was adjusting to a new Offense, last year. I believe that this perennial Top 5 finisher has a strong chance of pushing to do so, yet again. I'd bump'm to around the 8th or 9th best Bet, so maybe a Round earlier in Value.

WB Jace Sternberger ~ His current ADP is about 255th, UFA, the 31st Ranked WingBack.

Blue Light Special! Sternberger's Stock is in the gutter, having missed virtually his whole Rookie campaign, follwing which he missed a big chunk of Camp because of The Plague. But this is a very well-coordinated Offense with a minimum of explosive Weaponry, and Sternberger is a phenomenal matchup with tremendous Intangibles. I foresee'm rapidly rising into a posistion of prominence, this year, despite his ghostly start. 40/500/5 is very attainable, a terrific Late Round Flier value.

FB DaVante Adams ~ His current ADP is about 8th, mid 1st Round, the 2nd Ranked WideOut.

Par Value. Adams is a Star in his prime.

XE Allen Lazzard ~ His current ADP is about 180th, late 15th Round, the 60th Ranked WideOut.

SuperSleeper!! Lazzard has reportedly emerged as the clear #2 behind Adams. I've always liked'm, and I like this Offense. I can easily foresee a 60/800/8 kind of season, which'd place'm close to the Top 30 or so, and that's 7th Round territory!

XE Marques Valdes Scantling ~ His current ADP is about 300th, UFA, the 97th Ranked WideOut.

Par Value. Worth keeping an eye on, perhaps, but he's always been pretty raw.

SB Aaron Jones ~ His current ADP is about 15th, early 2nd Round, the 11th Ranked HalfBack.

Par Value. Jones finished 3rd, last year, and is a Star in his prime, but the Packers invested a valuable Pick in Dillon, who seems destined to vulturize TouchDowns from Jones, who had a lofty 16, last year, hence his having finished 3rd.

PB Algiers Jameal Dillon ~ His current ADP is about 169th, early 15th Round, the 52nd Ranked HalfBack.

Par Value. Not much of a Receiver, and won't make you miss, but he should vulturize plenty of TouchDowns.