Justin Herbert ~ UFA
Par Value for both. The Offensive Line could prove greatly improved from last year's horror show, but will almost certainly take time to gel, and as for QuarterBack, itself, the most likely scenario is that Taylor starts the year and Herbert finishes it, making neither an attractive prospect for drafting. However, both are worth keeping an eye out for, as the Bolts are clearly going for an Option Offense, and 3 of the top 4 scoring Fantasy QuarterBacks, last year, were Option QuarterBacks. Additionally, they've got several legit weapons in the Passing Game. Once the Offensive Line settles in ~ that is, if the Offensive Line settles in ~ and the QuarterBack is determined, he could prove to be a very high scorer.
Par Value. Henry actually finished as the #8 WingBack, last year, his 3rd. He's been steadily improving, and one's tempted to project him to add another 100 Yards a couple TouchDown, but the transition with the Offensive Line, though ultimately to his Fantasy FootBall advantage, if things work out, especially at Tackle, because he'd have to block, less, and receive, more, clouds his short-term picture, as does the uncertain outlook at QuarterBack. #8 sounds just about right.
Par Value. I'm impressed, I must say, by the sophistication of The Market. I was all ready to break out the red ink, despite Allen being one of my all-time favorite Draft finds, as he finished 11th, last year, and has been astonishingly consistent over the last 3 years. But The Market discounted'm, exactly as I would've, presumably because of the transitional situation at QuarterBack, combined with the transitional situation on the Offensive Line. The late 4th Round is spot on!
SE Michael Williams ~ His ADP is currently 108th, late 9th Round, the #44 Ranked WideOut.
Par Value. Here, too, The Market exhibits its wisdom, by also discounting Williams, who finished 37th, last year. Williams is rapidly ascending to Stardom, so you could argue that he shouldn't be discounted, but he's actually more risky than Allen, being more of a downfield, feast or famine type, headed into a year of transition both at QuarterBack and the Offensive Line, and, furthermore, looking at the likelihood that that QuarterBack is at least initially likely to be Taylor, a natural leader who, nevertheless, isn't exactly renowned for his gun-slinging ways! The late 9th makes sense.
Par Value. Yet another wise discounting by The Market. The remarkable Mister Ekeler finished 7th, last year, but faces a year of transition, both at QuarterBack, and on the Offensive Line. The intriguing angle on Ekeler is that when the mercifully departed Mel Gordon was out, last September, Ekeler took on massive work. That, on the face of it, would suggest that that precedent will be followed, going forward, and if that proves to be the case, Ekeler, who racked up no less than 85 Points during those 4 weeks, will project to be the #2 scoring HalfBack, behind only Hurricane Christian McCaffrey.
I'll be very surprised if that proves to be the case, because the Bolts spent a 4th Rounder on Joshua Kelley, who's talent is mediocre, but who's Game is remarkably refined, and is therefore Plug & Play. That would seem to me to be a crystal clear indication that they plan of sloughing off some Snaps to Kelley, in order to keep Ekeler fresh. But I mention last September's torrid pace, because early indications indicate that that'll be the way, Ekeler becomes a steal!
SB Justin Jackson ~ His ADP is currently 150th, middle 13th Round, the #51 Ranked HalfBack.
Par Value. Jackson's main value is of course as a Handcuff. I ranked'm as a Deeper Sleeper in the 2018 Draft, and he's confirmed that he has a complete Game and is very capable of racking up loads of Points, given the opportunity!