Call me Crazy, but I predicted one 3 Years ago. I, and I alone, predicted, on the Record, that the 3 Point UnderDog SeaHawks would destroy the high-flying Broncos..and the SeaHawks annihilated them!!
The Falcons, too, are 3 Point UnderDogs...But for them I do not foresee a similar outcome.
Quite the opposite, in fact.
I'm hearing and reading all sorts of different accounts of what the results have been, historically, when the #1 Offense has met the #1 Defense in the Super Bowl. First off, please allow me to clarify that "#1 Defense" has always only meant one thing: The Defense that gave up the least Points. Only an Idiot believes that Yards trump Points.
And the Record, since the Merger of the Leagues in 1970, is that the #1 Offense has met the #1 Defense exactly 5 Times... and that the results have been the the #1 Defense has prevailed, 4 times out of 5.
That just begins to tell the Story, though.
The one Time that the #1 Defense failed was in 1989, when the Broncos's #1 Defense got shellacked, 55-10, by the #1 Miners Offense...and the #3 Miners Defense. And that's the thing: In 1989, the NFC was still dominant over the AFC. The Miners's Defense had earned its #3 Rating against PowerHouses like the Giants, RedSkins, Eagles, Bears, Saints, Vikings, and Rams...a Murderer's Row of prolific Team that would've run roughshod over AFC Defenses.
Ranking duly noted, but the Miners fielded the better Defense, that day. And it showed.
What I'd like to know...Is how many Times the #1 Offense has gone up against the #1 Defense...while also fielding the #27 Defense going up against the #3 Offense?? For that, Ladies & Laddies, is what the Falcons are going to do.
I'm not looking at such a narrow Scope, of course.
But we are looking at Great Offense + Great Defense Versus Great Offense + Awful Defense.
The 1984 Fish actually fielded a good Defense going into the Super Bowl, which happens to be on that list of 5 that I linked above, and which fielded Joe Montana's Miners versus Dan Marino's Fish ~ the #1 Defense + #2 Offense Versus the #7 Defense + #1 Offense...and although the Fish were supposed to be phenomenal and although Marino had just set a TouchDown Record and was supposed to revolutionize the Game...the Miners demolished them, 38-16.
Perhaps more compelling examples of what I'm trying to say are provided for by Super Bowls where Teams with Top Shelf Offenses and Defenses went against Teams with Top Shelf Offenses...but rather mediocre Defenses.
I humbly offer you 3 such examples:
Giants ~ #8 Offense + #2 Defense
Broncos ~ #6 Offense + #15 Defense
Giants ~ 39
Broncos ~ 20
CowBoys ~ #2 Offense + #5 Defense
Beefalo ~ #3 Offense + #14 Defense
CowBoys ~ 52
Beefalo ~ 17
And of course...
SeaHawks ~ #9 Offense + #1 Defense
Broncos ~ #1 Offense + #22 Defense
SeaHawks ~ 43
Broncos ~ 8
That's an average Margin of Victory of 30 Points, Ladies & Laddies. And it wasn't luck.
When you can stop the other Team, but the other Team can't stop you...you have a recipe for a Slaughter.
And, for what it's worth: I came up with this Score before I researched those:
Patriots ~ #3 Offense + #1 Defense
Falcons ~ #1 Offense + #27 Defense
Patriots ~ 45
Falcons ~ 17
So Let It Be Written.
* By the way: Bovada ~ who is not paying me to mention this but ought to!! pays off 9-1 if you lay 21.5 Points.